PolyBot

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Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-17

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.070. down 0.326 over the period, from 0.395. Range 0.070 to 0.596. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1372020
0.1381131
0.192144175
0.21845220
0.240120340
0.32552392
0.346300692
0.34746738
0.39349787
0.41050837
0.50452889
0.88540929

Spread0.135Mid0.070

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002160160
0.001115275

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998160160
0.999115275

Spread0.135Mid0.930

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8632020
0.8621131
0.808144175
0.78245220
0.760120340
0.67552392
0.654300692
0.65346738
0.60749787
0.59050837
0.49652889
0.11540929

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes1,858
lightsout912Yes557.88
molodoyyYes158
0xairzzYes98.9
0x58F58592b930f97C5F3BC23f66992585ea7101E4-1768627405578Yes90.79
kevinsdad1Yes20.31
AJSVYes20.21
probabilityYes15
bjproloYes8
LornaPredictsYes5.02
mildwindow27Yes2.95
plainfolderYes2.04
0xa5ef…2966No2,124.01
0xe46a7D55f684287E1b60aFA41a6B71AA94ce5c3c-1789659887971No349.44
LEGENDARY101No200
ci4gaNo118.73
infoowlNo40
0xa54970Cc7641C495D913d67A8A27C8e511dE5322-1767544649844No1.67
0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339No1.66
facaibotNo1.59

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:04:55SELLYes0.25312$3.04
17:42:49SELLYes0.25399$25.02
16:01:25BUYNo0.8585210939349$300.00
15:40:12BUYNo0.60399981162$1.00
14:41:57BUYNo0.5982$0.95
14:35:43BUYNo0.5979999999119$71.00
13:26:19BUYNo0.59799992942$1.00
13:10:09BUYNo0.595200$119.00
07:32:33BUYYes0.826106132791$75.00
06:06:09BUYYes0.540666666715$8.11
05:56:24BUYYes0.0623529412170$10.60
17:55:25BUYNo0.9650610$9.65
17:30:46BUYNo0.955$4.77
11:08:24BUYNo0.93210$9.32
11:08:24BUYNo0.926$5.52
11:08:22BUYNo0.915$4.74
21:31:04BUYNo0.949$8.46