0x58F58592b930f97C5F3BC23f66992585ea7101E4-1768627405578
0x58f58592b930f97c5f3bc23f66992585ea7101e4
- Realised P&L
- $-45.78
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $13.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.70at 0.135Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$18.04at 0.454Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$14.54at 0.165Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
- +$13.32at 0.590Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$7.56at 0.569Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:32 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8261061327 | $75.00 |
| 09-02 16:03 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.65 |
| 09-02 00:00 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $24.23 |
| 09-02 00:00 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 23:52 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 18:50 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 18:50 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 00:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.423999981 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 00:15 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.0107005566 | $0.87 |
| 04-30 00:15 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 03-18 17:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 23:09 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.053646953 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 23:07 | Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.29563058 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 23:04 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5694749303 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 23:04 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.037 | $5.00 |