facaibot
0xbdfa4bfe8746c52bb9de13182a98e5e3639d4d29
- Realised P&L
- $30.04
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 483
- Open portfolio
- $126.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded483
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.92at 0.007Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 10°C or below on August 29?
- +$31.67at 0.240LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1
- +$28.46at 0.260Will Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
- +$15.00at 0.400Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?
- +$12.22at 0.450Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-09 21:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.917 | $9.17 |
| 10-09 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 10-08 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.92 | $13.77 |
| 10-08 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-07 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 7? | SELL | 0.32 | $11.20 |
| 10-07 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.20 |
| 10-07 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 10-06 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.934 | $14.00 |
| 10-06 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 10-06 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.908 | $4.54 |
| 10-05 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.908 | $4.54 |
| 10-05 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.35 | $8.60 |
| 10-05 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 10-05 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on October 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |