0xa54970Cc7641C495D913d67A8A27C8e511dE5322-1767544649844
0xc0e347aa5a397800fed51776dce217b20e62cd57
- Realised P&L
- $0.41
- Volume
- $2.85
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $2.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026? · No | 0.598 | 0.952 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 23, 2026? · No | 0.849 | 0.701 | $0.82 | −$0.17 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:37 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.8489999609 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:26 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.5979999294 | $1.00 |