ci4ga
0xbef037910e0410c572bd8bcc97724691370e86ef
- Realised P&L
- $582.60
- Volume
- $114.7k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.065Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$1.0kat 0.479Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
- +$986.54at 0.059Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$914.31at 0.740Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$902.34at 0.537Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:35 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.5979999999 | $71.00 |
| 09-17 14:35 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8301093339 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 14:35 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.797 | $46.66 |
| 09-16 12:57 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.7778975732 | $111.00 |
| 09-16 12:56 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.19 | $66.27 |
| 09-16 12:56 | Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0047056365 | $2.78 |
| 09-16 12:55 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.7506413284 | $111.00 |
| 09-16 12:55 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0748633412 | $96.14 |
| 09-13 13:21 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.6485982282 | $500.00 |
| 09-11 23:33 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.3669867686 | $128.00 |
| 09-11 23:33 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 23:33 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $128.00 |
| 09-11 23:13 | ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30? | BUY | 0.7913596713 | $300.00 |
| 09-11 22:58 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 7.5 and 10 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.25 |
| 09-11 22:58 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.04 |