Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.12 to 0.54. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	4	4
0.43	25	29
0.44	20	49
0.55	5	54
0.58	75	129
0.59	500	629
0.63	50	679
0.90	51	730
0.92	5	735
0.94	9	744
0.95	10	754
0.97	22	776

Spread0.03Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	50	50
0.11	55	105
0.10	51	156
0.09	100	256
0.08	70	326
0.06	7	333
0.05	10	343
0.03	11	354
0.02	10	364
0.01	18	383

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	50	50
0.89	55	105
0.90	51	156
0.91	100	256
0.92	70	326
0.94	7	333
0.95	10	343
0.97	11	354
0.98	10	364
0.99	18	383

Spread0.03Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	4	4
0.57	25	29
0.56	20	49
0.45	5	54
0.42	75	129
0.41	500	629
0.37	50	679
0.10	51	730
0.08	5	735
0.06	9	744
0.05	10	754
0.03	22	776

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	548.38
hithitfar	Yes	240.31
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231	Yes	193
0x137410816BD83911FD81fD03dD89E4ecD34319a7-1764824238940	Yes	98.44
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13	Yes	79.7
0x8bb1…b0c5	Yes	43.98
just-bettor	Yes	37.67
molodoyy	Yes	37.4
citcap	Yes	30
GuyFromTinder	Yes	25.23
bZk0Uo	Yes	24
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20
SuperTests	Yes	13.6
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	11.09
chaosj89	Yes	6.97
altirel	Yes	4.84
boringtrades2001	Yes	4.41
0xf0Ac699b490F7764547FD85aBeafC1c898059704-1743097267212	Yes	4.39
driphop	Yes	4.33
asd56	Yes	3.78

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:57:34	BUY	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
15:24:46	SELL	No	0.85	26	$22.41
15:24:45	SELL	No	0.8809383178	80	$70.70
15:15:18	BUY	No	0.89	36	$32.04
15:15:16	SELL	Yes	0.11	37	$4.05
14:36:31	SELL	Yes	0.17	5	$0.85
14:34:51	BUY	No	0.8151347068	76	$61.72
14:34:22	BUY	No	0.7899999997	63	$50.00
14:34:12	BUY	Yes	0.2099999978	23	$4.78
14:34:12	BUY	No	0.8	83	$66.07
14:34:12	BUY	No	0.75	92	$69.00
11:17:22	BUY	No	0.73	20	$14.60
11:17:22	BUY	Yes	0.31	20	$6.20
11:17:22	BUY	No	0.73	20	$14.60
11:17:22	BUY	Yes	0.28	51	$14.21
07:27:21	BUY	No	0.7	40	$28.00
00:18:45	SELL	No	0.66	9	$6.12
00:14:03	SELL	No	0.67	11	$7.19
20:24:42	BUY	Yes	0.43	20	$8.60
21:50:00	BUY	No	0.53	20	$10.60
21:47:46	BUY	Yes	0.4299999986	21	$8.98
21:47:34	BUY	Yes	0.44	20	$8.80
21:38:45	BUY	No	0.62	10	$6.17
07:16:12	BUY	No	0.5	20	$10.00
07:16:12	BUY	No	0.5	20	$10.00