Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.78. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.81. Range 0.70 to 0.88. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	20	20
0.80	40	60
0.83	41	101
0.84	30	131
0.86	57	188
0.87	20	208
0.88	50	258
0.89	20	278
0.92	6	284
0.93	20	304
0.98	17	321
0.99	263	584

Spread0.03Mid0.78

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	40	40
0.75	50	90
0.73	40	130
0.71	20	150
0.62	35	185
0.36	35	220
0.35	50	270
0.33	24	294
0.31	23	316
0.28	20	336
0.26	10	346
0.08	8	354

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	40	40
0.25	50	90
0.27	40	130
0.29	20	150
0.38	35	185
0.64	35	220
0.65	50	270
0.67	24	294
0.69	23	316
0.72	20	336
0.74	10	346
0.92	8	354

Spread0.03Mid0.22

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	20	20
0.20	40	60
0.17	41	101
0.16	30	131
0.14	57	188
0.13	20	208
0.12	50	258
0.11	20	278
0.08	6	284
0.07	20	304
0.02	17	321
0.01	263	584

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
lamyk	Yes	530.01
InterestingUser	Yes	378.08
0x137410816BD83911FD81fD03dD89E4ecD34319a7-1764824238940	Yes	98.44
0x4629…f3b1	Yes	30
0x82C358896aB2A1d506bB9962B4227F069d2090Cb-1766933588800	Yes	20
gavinfunda	Yes	20
SuperTests	Yes	10.52
altirel	Yes	4.84
0xf528…7e5b	Yes	3
pinner	Yes	1.22
lissartter	No	220.97
BAO95889	No	169.83
title1	No	105.51
Dr.PNL	No	88.11
Fihdrzgdd	No	80
tradetosurvive1	No	75
GuyFromTinder	No	65
pootytherewardfarmer	No	63.01
LornaPredicts	No	59.99
AJSV	No	44.21

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:02:15	BUY	No	0.23	20	$4.60
15:25:32	BUY	Yes	0.71	20	$14.20
12:52:43	BUY	Yes	0.75	3	$2.25
12:51:03	SELL	No	0.25	37	$9.25
12:06:36	SELL	Yes	0.73	50	$36.50
06:23:58	SELL	No	0.25	40	$10.00
06:17:30	BUY	Yes	0.72	5	$3.61
05:52:42	SELL	No	0.26	40	$10.40
05:47:04	SELL	No	0.25	82	$20.50
02:42:04	BUY	No	0.176504065	123	$21.71
00:44:16	SELL	No	0.16	105	$16.80
00:09:46	BUY	No	0.15	20	$3.00
16:41:27	BUY	No	0.15	80	$12.00
16:25:07	SELL	No	0.16	10	$1.60
16:11:12	SELL	No	0.16	10	$1.60
15:55:30	SELL	No	0.16	10	$1.60
12:00:45	SELL	Yes	0.82	50	$41.00
10:38:37	BUY	Yes	0.8	20	$16.00
09:22:33	SELL	No	0.23	40	$9.20
08:24:42	BUY	No	0.16	40	$6.40
08:20:55	SELL	No	0.22	40	$8.80
08:15:04	SELL	No	0.25	20	$5.00
07:58:19	SELL	No	0.25	20	$5.00
07:51:16	SELL	No	0.25	80	$20.00
07:48:21	BUY	No	0.1357791642	218	$29.60