PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x137410816BD83911FD81fD03dD89E4ecD34319a7-1764824238940

0x137410816bd83911fd81fd03dd89e4ecd34319a7

Realised P&L
$244.94
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$277.53

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.895$90.52+$1.52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · Yes0.8800.880$86.63+$0.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7100.720$71.72+$1.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · No0.0990.315$28.66+$19.66
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026? · No0.1810.000$0.00$20.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026? · No0.0680.000$0.00$3.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 14, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026? · No0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$18.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026? · No0.0660.000$0.00$2.96
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 15, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$37.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026? · No0.0300.000$0.00$57.57
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 14, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 03:34Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026?BUY0.0660419456$2.96
08-14 04:34Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 14, 2026?BUY0.1$11.00
08-13 14:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7199999961$37.00
08-12 01:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7099999928$70.72
08-12 01:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026?BUY0.3858235496$20.00
08-12 01:10Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.92$92.00
08-10 22:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026?BUY0.0680696579$3.00
08-08 23:14Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
08-08 15:26Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026?BUY0.1732309637$14.00
08-08 15:25Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.134$19.85
08-08 14:42Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.8799999959$86.63
08-08 14:42Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.0989010989$9.00
08-05 03:41Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026?BUY0.8199999996$78.98
08-04 12:442026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.8799999945$89.00
08-03 04:18Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.18$18.00