0x137410816BD83911FD81fD03dD89E4ecD34319a7-1764824238940
0x137410816bd83911fd81fd03dd89e4ecd34319a7
- Realised P&L
- $244.94
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $277.53
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.24at 0.093Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?
- +$65.22at 0.104Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?
- +$56.86at 0.154Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 2, 2026?
- +$49.88at 0.398Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
- +$46.61at 0.181Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 03:34 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0660419456 | $2.96 |
| 08-14 04:34 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $11.00 |
| 08-13 14:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7199999961 | $37.00 |
| 08-12 01:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7099999928 | $70.72 |
| 08-12 01:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.3858235496 | $20.00 |
| 08-12 01:10 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 08-10 22:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0680696579 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 23:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 15:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1732309637 | $14.00 |
| 08-08 15:25 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.134 | $19.85 |
| 08-08 14:42 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.8799999959 | $86.63 |
| 08-08 14:42 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.0989010989 | $9.00 |
| 08-05 03:41 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999996 | $78.98 |
| 08-04 12:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8799999945 | $89.00 |
| 08-03 04:18 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |