altirel
0x32777b54ae64d0e415ffc9913ce0d0f952f12441
- Realised P&L
- $-34.89
- Volume
- $269.34
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.775 | $3.75 | −$0.75 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.33 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-4.21at 0.959Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:09 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.50 |
| 07-31 13:53 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9569999934 | $4.20 |
| 07-31 13:39 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0699769897 | $15.00 |
| 07-17 23:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4059999683 | $4.33 |
| 07-16 15:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4169999817 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 15:37 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |