PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf0Ac699b490F7764547FD85aBeafC1c898059704-1743097267212

0xf0ac699b490f7764547fd85abeafc1c898059704

Realised P&L
$-43.96
Volume
$756.39
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$493.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.9080.919$158.46+$1.86
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · No0.8300.835$83.52+$0.50
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3470.369$54.24+$3.23
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2550.245$36.12−$1.52
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9300.940$32.90+$0.35
Tabi FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.9200.920$26.96+$0.00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1300.140$20.58+$1.47
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9200.915$20.13−$0.11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1210.117$17.13−$0.73
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.150$15.01+$0.00
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.0750.064$10.96−$1.98
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0710.038$5.66−$4.78
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0290.024$3.51−$0.90
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.0670.058$2.98−$0.46
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0340.016$2.35−$2.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:12Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?SELL0.92$9.60
11-01 21:12Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?SELL0.083$1.00
11-01 21:10Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?SELL0.92$9.86
11-01 21:10Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?SELL0.083$0.76
11-01 11:17Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?SELL0.7$12.07
11-01 11:17Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.28$14.21
11-01 11:17Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.71$48.28
10-31 15:34Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?SELL0.096$2.87
10-31 15:34Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?SELL0.9$26.87
10-31 13:03Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.0549999986$1.93
10-31 13:03Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.93$32.55
10-31 12:52Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?BUY0.92$46.92
10-31 12:52Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?BUY0.0719999987$3.68
10-31 11:38Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$16.69
10-31 11:32Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.101$1.87