Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-16
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.06 to 0.54. 46 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	5	5
0.20	1,115	1,120
0.21	1,000	2,120
0.24	1,000	3,120
0.25	1,040	4,160
0.28	300	4,460
0.29	40	4,500
0.34	11	4,511
0.35	500	5,011
0.36	100	5,111
0.95	12	5,123
0.96	15	5,138

Spread0.04Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	112	112
0.14	127	239
0.07	205	444
0.06	83	527
0.05	179	706
0.04	1,308	2,014
0.03	276	2,290
0.02	2,056	4,346
0.01	227	4,573

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	112	112
0.86	127	239
0.93	205	444
0.94	83	527
0.95	179	706
0.96	1,308	2,014
0.97	276	2,290
0.98	2,056	4,346
0.99	227	4,573

Spread0.04Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	5	5
0.80	1,115	1,120
0.79	1,000	2,120
0.76	1,000	3,120
0.75	1,040	4,160
0.72	300	4,460
0.71	40	4,500
0.66	11	4,511
0.65	500	5,011
0.64	100	5,111
0.05	12	5,123
0.04	15	5,138

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	938.56
GuyFromTinder	Yes	127
HerrieDavis	Yes	67.5
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	66
0x650cb5961BBC5E4CEF4D2166F2976c413810ede0-1763437027584	Yes	56.31
boofa	Yes	40
AJSV	Yes	28
Withayk	Yes	25
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	21
pmqianbaolaile	Yes	20
pmmmmmmmmmmmmmm	Yes	20
suikxtx	Yes	17.25
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519	Yes	5
tradetosurvive1	Yes	1.74
Rumpelstiltskin	No	1,128.94
dedidanc	No	254.51
Nikoqqq	No	21.91
0x8b9a…7da2	No	16.94
cx2	No	7.93
earlyrise	No	4.84

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:52:12	SELL	No	0.918225	20	$18.36
04:52:11	BUY	Yes	0.08	25	$2.00
04:37:51	BUY	Yes	0.08	20	$1.60
04:08:44	BUY	Yes	0.08	14	$1.12
04:07:36	BUY	Yes	0.07	7	$0.48
03:30:20	SELL	Yes	0.05	14	$0.70
03:27:07	SELL	Yes	0.06	15	$0.90
03:22:09	SELL	Yes	0.07	5	$0.35
02:20:54	BUY	No	0.8420369724	717	$603.53
02:18:41	BUY	No	0.8	20	$16.00
02:18:41	BUY	No	0.683643708	412	$281.79
00:08:58	SELL	No	0.67337	20	$13.47
21:43:50	SELL	No	0.66	20	$13.20
20:56:56	BUY	Yes	0.28	20	$5.60
20:08:20	BUY	No	0.6846828951	22	$15.00
15:16:29	BUY	No	0.6199999587	5	$3.00
11:08:01	SELL	Yes	0.44	1	$0.31
10:55:02	BUY	Yes	0.5150396278	56	$29.00
10:37:46	SELL	Yes	0.4	1	$0.28
06:10:07	SELL	No	0.51	19	$9.59
06:09:49	BUY	Yes	0.4899999858	17	$8.30
06:08:08	BUY	Yes	0.49	20	$9.80
06:08:08	BUY	Yes	0.49	20	$9.80
04:32:19	BUY	No	0.59	20	$11.51
04:21:19	SELL	Yes	0.44	20	$8.80