0x650cb5961BBC5E4CEF4D2166F2976c413810ede0-1763437027584
0xa0054c9c2c649920798983dc3e6cee9fbe6b56d8
- Realised P&L
- $31.38
- Volume
- $242.13
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $9.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.515 | 0.170 | $9.57 | −$19.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.38at 0.831Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:55 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5150396278 | $29.00 |
| 09-22 05:43 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.825542688 | $149.28 |
| 09-22 05:25 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |