Nikoqqq
0xf8aa9023de7fa2afb608a86b8a6a8b1a6976007c
- Realised P&L
- $758.19
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $515.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.693 | 0.735 | $212.27 | +$12.27 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.865 | $144.17 | +$4.17 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.795 | 0.775 | $100.75 | −$2.65 |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.770 | $40.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? · No | 0.685 | 0.830 | $18.18 | +$3.18 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.857 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.13 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? · No | 0.623 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.33 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$256.05at 0.408Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$240.26at 0.714Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$202.13at 0.129Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
- +$58.80at 0.510Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?
- +$48.37at 0.677Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 09:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6925122117 | $200.00 |
| 09-23 20:10 | Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $40.00 |
| 09-23 20:08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6846828951 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 20:05 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999995 | $140.00 |
| 09-23 07:48 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 09-22 13:36 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 09-21 21:15 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8800591761 | $120.00 |
| 09-20 19:55 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.965 | $55.00 |
| 09-13 20:28 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 20:28 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 17:16 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 12:05 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.75 | $40.00 |
| 09-07 19:44 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 19:44 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 13:40 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8960188591 | $200.00 |