Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-16
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.47. up 0.18 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.15 to 0.55. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	212	212
0.49	150	362
0.50	673	1,035
0.54	90	1,125
0.55	400	1,525
0.60	20	1,545
0.63	194	1,738
0.64	196	1,935
0.67	188	2,123
0.68	40	2,163
0.72	30	2,193
0.74	350	2,543

Spread0.01Mid0.47

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.47	406	406
0.46	1,992	2,398
0.45	895	3,293
0.39	378	3,672
0.33	599	4,270
0.29	773	5,043
0.28	640	5,683
0.26	625	6,308
0.25	5	6,313
0.22	30	6,343
0.21	800	7,143
0.13	300	7,443

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.53	406	406
0.54	1,992	2,398
0.55	895	3,293
0.61	378	3,672
0.67	599	4,270
0.71	773	5,043
0.72	640	5,683
0.74	625	6,308
0.75	5	6,313
0.78	30	6,343
0.79	800	7,143
0.87	300	7,443

Spread0.01Mid0.53

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	212	212
0.51	150	362
0.50	673	1,035
0.46	90	1,125
0.45	400	1,525
0.40	20	1,545
0.37	194	1,738
0.36	196	1,935
0.33	188	2,123
0.32	40	2,163
0.28	30	2,193
0.26	350	2,543

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
bugonia	Yes	2,349.4
tradetosurvive1	Yes	416.85
bonalddrunk	Yes	301.85
Kinder-B	Yes	268
pragmat1sm	Yes	201.59
SuperTests	Yes	115
molodoyy	Yes	101.01
robotax	Yes	50
a5533	Yes	40
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	40
HerrieDavis	Yes	27
winexecutescale	Yes	27
AJSV	Yes	23.58
trasheru	Yes	20
0xa230…d08d	Yes	20
cacato	Yes	20
parameter1	Yes	9.09
johnthek	Yes	6.81
crossFiter	Yes	5
0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263	Yes	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:55:04	SELL	Yes	0.47	39	$18.53
03:51:01	SELL	No	0.5	41	$20.29
02:56:09	BUY	No	0.51	50	$25.50
02:56:07	BUY	No	0.5	140	$70.00
01:42:10	SELL	Yes	0.49	5	$2.38
01:42:09	SELL	Yes	0.51	45	$23.03
01:41:45	SELL	Yes	0.5150746701	345	$177.62
21:42:48	BUY	No	0.48	200	$96.00
21:41:24	BUY	No	0.48	50	$24.00
19:28:58	SELL	Yes	0.55	175	$96.25
19:06:07	SELL	No	0.44	36	$15.89
18:39:52	SELL	Yes	0.48	14	$6.66
18:39:52	BUY	Yes	0.4865226971	988	$480.52
18:39:51	BUY	Yes	0.498015749	51	$25.50
15:29:43	SELL	Yes	0.46	38	$17.48
12:13:10	SELL	Yes	0.48	6	$2.88
12:12:51	SELL	Yes	0.4840740741	54	$26.14
12:12:51	SELL	Yes	0.49	37	$18.13
12:04:46	SELL	Yes	0.49	6	$2.94
12:03:46	BUY	No	0.51	5	$2.55
09:35:30	SELL	Yes	0.49	15	$7.35
06:23:18	SELL	No	0.49	30	$14.70
05:28:46	SELL	Yes	0.47	5	$2.35
05:15:51	SELL	Yes	0.48	30	$14.40
05:06:12	SELL	Yes	0.5	30	$15.00