PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kinder-B

0x9cadc15001fb640f367f4934d6f86305c8f1d35c

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$81.7k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$771.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · No0.8170.970$290.85+$45.79
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7240.815$212.59+$23.69
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.3250.475$127.30+$40.08
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.5980.973$97.25+$37.48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0630.073$19.07+$2.67
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0260.017$13.60$7.48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0900.095$10.56+$0.56
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00$51.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 17:27Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.018$1.08
09-12 17:27Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.372197$37.22
09-11 22:59Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.064$6.40
09-11 22:58Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7408333333$88.90
09-11 22:54Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.709999998$100.00
09-11 22:50Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.2976190476$50.00
09-11 22:47Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0899999993$10.00
09-11 22:46Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0627179201$10.00
09-11 22:46Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.02702895$20.00
09-08 13:12Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.082783592$103.15
09-08 11:25Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1333333333$10.00
09-08 07:46Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2269919032$50.00
09-08 07:45Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2103688038$200.00
02-27 14:38US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY0.68$68.00
02-27 11:19US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY0.814185$162.84