trasheru
0x290ee82d904b09032217a5753f328d396f3a0783
- Realised P&L
- $-32.49
- Volume
- $63.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,047
- Open portfolio
- $321.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,047
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.91at 0.191Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$140.34at 0.327Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?
- +$78.82at 0.207Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$48.29at 0.150LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
- +$48.25at 0.090US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:48 | Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? | SELL | 0.97 | $5.18 |
| 08-02 06:48 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.919 | $5.16 |
| 08-02 06:48 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.12 |
| 08-02 06:48 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $5.05 |
| 08-02 06:47 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.94 |
| 07-25 19:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.21 |
| 07-24 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.72 | $5.29 |
| 07-23 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 13:52 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.03 |
| 07-23 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 24? | SELL | 0.65 | $4.58 |
| 07-23 12:45 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.53 | $4.73 |
| 07-23 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 23? | SELL | 0.67 | $5.61 |
| 07-23 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 23? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.42 |
| 07-23 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.08 |
| 07-23 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.09 |