PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trasheru

0x290ee82d904b09032217a5753f328d396f3a0783

Realised P&L
$-32.49
Volume
$63.1k
Markets traded
1,047
Open portfolio
$321.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,047
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? · No0.6100.685$95.89+$10.50
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? · Yes0.4620.315$31.50$14.70
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2570.445$26.70+$11.30
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.555$22.20$8.60
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? · No0.5310.540$18.95+$0.32
Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes0.5270.290$17.39$14.19
Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? · Yes0.6200.855$17.10+$4.70
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5100.610$12.20+$2.00
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · No0.5900.565$11.30$0.50
Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? · Yes0.5600.500$10.00$1.20
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? · No0.5300.485$9.70$0.90
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.2800.475$9.50+$3.90
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? · Yes0.6100.460$9.20$3.00
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · No0.4100.435$8.70+$0.50
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5800.420$8.40$3.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 06:48Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?SELL0.97$5.18
08-02 06:48Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.919$5.16
08-02 06:48Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.87$5.12
08-02 06:48Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.93$5.05
08-02 06:47Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$4.94
07-25 19:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?SELL0.85$5.21
07-24 02:15Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 24?SELL0.72$5.29
07-23 15:18Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24?SELL0.53$5.00
07-23 13:52Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.75$4.03
07-23 13:26Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 24?SELL0.65$4.58
07-23 12:45Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 24?SELL0.53$4.73
07-23 08:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 23?SELL0.67$5.61
07-23 04:43Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 23?SELL0.38$4.42
07-23 00:16Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 24?BUY0.57$5.08
07-23 00:14Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24?BUY0.54$5.09