bonalddrunk
0x3089e1a6e3e9122c328aebe47b86ff5e13b292f6
- Realised P&L
- $-14.7k
- Volume
- $797.1k
- Markets traded
- 818
- Open portfolio
- $8.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded818
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.0kat 0.117Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?
- +$2.9kat 0.805Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$2.5kat 0.365Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?
- +$2.4kat 0.380Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.302Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:17 | 151 Ultra-Premium Collection Price Over/Under $933.63 on September 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $16.90 |
| 09-16 20:13 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $34.78 |
| 09-16 18:41 | Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.25% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 11:23 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 09-16 07:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $136.94 |
| 09-16 05:14 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $26.40 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $21.60 |
| 09-16 01:50 | Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.977 | $78.16 |
| 09-16 01:48 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.09 | $14.22 |
| 09-16 01:46 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.90 |
| 09-16 01:41 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.5150746701 | $177.62 |
| 09-15 20:01 | Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 09-15 19:31 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.09 | $90.00 |
| 09-15 19:28 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $96.25 |
| 09-15 19:28 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.0989683376 | $155.97 |