bonalddrunk
0x3089e1a6e3e9122c328aebe47b86ff5e13b292f6
- Realised P&L
- $-12.1k
- Volume
- $1.00M
- Markets traded
- 1,095
- Open portfolio
- $36.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,095
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.093Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
- +$2.9kat 0.805Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$2.5kat 0.365Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?
- +$2.4kat 0.380Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.302Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:09 | Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6541860465 | $140.65 |
| 11-01 19:09 | Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $47.30 |
| 11-01 19:03 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 50%-55%? | SELL | 0.955 | $214.88 |
| 11-01 18:58 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.69 | $17.25 |
| 11-01 18:54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.18 | $76.92 |
| 11-01 18:44 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.87 | $120.84 |
| 11-01 18:43 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.88 | $52.89 |
| 11-01 18:40 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.9401268939 | $49.64 |
| 11-01 18:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.88839987 | $177.67 |
| 11-01 18:31 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.828 | $165.60 |
| 11-01 18:18 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%? | SELL | 0.8914889071 | $163.14 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 12% or more? | SELL | 0.9892329417 | $187.75 |
| 11-01 18:01 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 11-01 17:46 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1704332756 | $196.68 |
| 11-01 17:43 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.75 | $150.00 |