PolyBot

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.37. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.20 to 0.79. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.405050
0.41100150
0.4620170
0.4817187
0.505192
0.595197
0.8021218
0.845223
0.8610233
0.906238
0.9112250
0.9220270

Spread0.06Mid0.37

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.343535
0.331,1861,221
0.14501,271
0.134951,766
0.122722,038
0.10212,059
0.0952,065
0.083,1505,215
0.075005,715
0.067296,444
0.058757,319
0.041,2038,522

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.663535
0.671,1861,221
0.86501,271
0.874951,766
0.882722,038
0.90212,059
0.9152,065
0.923,1505,215
0.935005,715
0.947296,444
0.958757,319
0.961,2038,522

Spread0.06Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.605050
0.59100150
0.5420170
0.5217187
0.505192
0.415197
0.2021218
0.165223
0.1410233
0.106238
0.0912250
0.0820270

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Dumfuq-Reward-BotsYes455.65
notssf3Yes399.99
FDSftYes398.3
outcomesYes235
AJSVYes134.56
MajasYes100
DjibootyYes80
cigarettesYes66.28
BAO95889Yes60
FihdrzgddYes60
thoodrYes46.97
Miguel262144Yes33
PPMTYes30
tradetosurvive1Yes28.41
ddaasdfYes10
ddadsfYes10
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519Yes5
Elias.ThornwellYes5
NayibBukeYes4.8
SmartBoyBillyYes4.55

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:03:05BUYNo0.62690018697$60.67
14:31:08SELLNo0.6120$12.20
13:03:18SELLNo0.6160$36.60
13:02:30SELLYes0.3720$7.40
12:49:24SELLYes0.3820$7.60
12:20:57BUYNo0.629999996992$57.68
12:07:12SELLYes0.3820$7.60
12:07:11BUYNo0.58360$208.80
12:07:09BUYNo0.6320$12.60
10:59:20SELLNo0.540$0.22
01:50:11BUYNo0.5450205386110$59.71
18:45:36BUYYes0.496$38.23
18:44:57SELLNo0.620$12.00
18:44:54BUYYes0.38155$58.90
18:44:40BUYYes0.3820$7.60
18:44:40BUYYes0.3820$7.60
18:30:54BUYYes0.38205$77.93
17:36:51BUYNo0.629999960410$6.52
21:54:21SELLYes0.3724$8.89
10:07:39SELLYes0.3320$6.60
10:07:37BUYNo0.6720$13.40
10:07:37SELLYes0.33580$26.80
08:17:22BUYYes0.393107540$15.72
22:51:46BUYYes0.3344$14.52
21:24:23BUYYes0.3160$18.60