NayibBuke
0x3e0e8eb414b92dd1a0dae1b322f824cd390612bd
- Realised P&L
- $-682.79
- Volume
- $114.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,809
- Open portfolio
- $30.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,809
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? · No | 0.615 | 0.525 | $21.00 | −$3.60 |
| Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.363 | $7.27 | −$2.31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.589 | 0.370 | $1.78 | −$1.05 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Down | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.99at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$58.19at 0.060LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$57.16at 0.346Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6AM ET
- +$46.80at 0.100Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
- +$44.51at 0.469Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 23:54 | Will XRP reach $1.60 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9329999897 | $5.64 |
| 09-21 22:12 | Will XRP reach $1.65 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9329999956 | $6.58 |
| 09-15 20:22 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 on September 15? | BUY | 0.9219999915 | $6.51 |
| 09-13 02:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $1.27 |
| 09-13 02:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999214 | $2.80 |
| 09-10 23:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $1.99 |
| 09-10 23:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999214 | $2.80 |
| 09-07 14:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $2.60 |
| 09-07 14:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999214 | $2.80 |
| 09-04 13:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-04 13:34 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999214 | $2.80 |
| 09-03 10:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $1.98 |
| 09-03 10:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5501174894 | $2.80 |
| 09-02 14:02 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $2.19 |
| 09-02 14:02 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999214 | $2.80 |