Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.080. down 0.365 over the period, from 0.445. Range 0.041 to 0.540. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.090	685	685
0.091	2,714	3,399
0.092	200	3,599
0.100	810	4,409
0.110	220	4,629
0.499	185	4,814
0.500	5	4,819
0.505	5	4,824
0.679	140	4,965
0.689	40	5,005
0.690	483	5,488
0.699	350	5,837

Spread0.020Mid0.080

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.070	60	60
0.069	3,286	3,346
0.068	200	3,546
0.064	150	3,696
0.060	2,079	5,775
0.053	75	5,850
0.050	220	6,070
0.034	727	6,796
0.015	104	6,900
0.014	900	7,800
0.002	84	7,884
0.001	140	8,024

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.930	60	60
0.931	3,286	3,346
0.932	200	3,546
0.936	150	3,696
0.940	2,079	5,775
0.947	75	5,850
0.950	220	6,070
0.966	727	6,796
0.985	104	6,900
0.986	900	7,800
0.998	84	7,884
0.999	140	8,024

Spread0.020Mid0.920

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.910	685	685
0.909	2,714	3,399
0.908	200	3,599
0.900	810	4,409
0.890	220	4,629
0.501	185	4,814
0.500	5	4,819
0.495	5	4,824
0.321	140	4,965
0.311	40	5,005
0.310	483	5,488
0.301	350	5,837

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xf49E055B56D2797319CaB6Bc71D5D17E3fd806D9-1768986344586	Yes	683.3
Oklmntrader	Yes	551.68
0x89759AD8ff64cA16506F24Cbb0eFf6dDD266dCFE-1763414533133	Yes	477.98
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998	Yes	185
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	120.82
AJSV	Yes	73.16
0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960	Yes	66
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	40
bignewsagencypro	Yes	40
0xF0e02A54C235B27273FdC63FEf80224E1280016A-1777966205584	Yes	33.48
or.atarim	Yes	33.04
0x1b5f…0ecd	Yes	30
Lavincey	Yes	30
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	30
0x125c…7463	Yes	25
Slackjaw	Yes	20
printttt	Yes	14.71
bilibobz	Yes	11.91
0xdd501cB6a5FE594571D724e0a5d5b910600DA2e4-1779718070549	Yes	7.69
Fancy6789	Yes	7.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:12:20	SELL	No	0.9304370618	155	$144.66
04:11:51	SELL	No	0.931	47	$43.80
04:10:00	SELL	No	0.9379576557	433	$406.02
09:47:57	BUY	Yes	0.0679999383	15	$1.00
21:37:42	BUY	No	0.95	10	$9.50
17:11:47	SELL	No	0.94	100	$94.00
17:11:44	SELL	No	0.9670238095	84	$81.23
17:11:26	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
15:43:56	SELL	Yes	0.08	40	$3.20
15:43:54	SELL	Yes	0.08	20	$1.60
15:43:54	SELL	Yes	0.08	40	$3.20
15:43:53	SELL	Yes	0.1111396637	1,256	$139.61
13:46:18	SELL	Yes	0.12	10	$1.20
13:45:44	SELL	Yes	0.12	20	$2.40
13:45:39	SELL	Yes	0.12	10	$1.20
13:45:38	SELL	Yes	0.13	50	$6.50
13:45:36	SELL	Yes	0.122	50	$6.10
13:45:33	SELL	Yes	0.13	100	$13.00
18:43:06	SELL	No	0.8	100	$80.00
17:43:38	BUY	No	0.65	100	$65.00
04:20:06	SELL	No	0.63	10	$6.30
04:20:00	SELL	No	0.63	10	$6.30
04:19:45	SELL	No	0.65	20	$12.68
04:19:38	SELL	No	0.65	8	$5.15
04:19:38	SELL	No	0.65	3	$1.67