0x1b5f30b9a2764b1465168b661066ada341390ecd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $79.9k
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $32.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.50at 0.390Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-04-19?
- +$22.39at 0.370Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$4.92at 0.116Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?
- +$4.48at 0.160US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
- +$4.03at 0.373Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 00:06 | Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.53 |
| 06-01 21:05 | Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.17 |
| 06-01 19:27 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 06-01 15:13 | Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.10 |
| 06-01 14:06 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 06-01 06:03 | Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.60 |
| 06-01 05:48 | Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.60 |
| 06-01 05:48 | Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 06-01 02:13 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $1.55 |
| 06-01 01:20 | Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.20 |
| 06-01 01:19 | Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1? | SELL | 0.2 | $15.80 |
| 05-31 23:22 | Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 05-31 11:05 | Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.80 |
| 05-31 04:00 | Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $26.40 |
| 05-31 03:32 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.20 |