bignewsagencypro
0xd029b13f2e562c77e2db3e5eda140cee79a44fc1
- Realised P&L
- $13.4k
- Volume
- $190.2k
- Markets traded
- 6,359
- Open portfolio
- $22.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded6,359
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No | 0.800 | 0.935 | $9.35 | +$1.35 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.231 | $9.22 | +$0.42 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.038 | $3.80 | −$31.20 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 14 and September 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? · No | 0.514 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.202Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
- +$4.5kat 0.153Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.227Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$920.50at 0.631Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
- +$574.20at 0.876Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 08:25 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 14 and September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0487286849 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 08:24 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5139999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 08:20 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $202.78 |
| 09-03 00:28 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $185.88 |
| 09-02 01:28 | Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7845545423 | $272.59 |
| 09-02 01:27 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.9701058052 | $275.06 |
| 09-02 01:02 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999981 | $320.76 |
| 09-02 01:01 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.9307963595 | $24.55 |
| 09-02 01:01 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.9360934143 | $300.63 |
| 09-01 09:10 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9159957965 | $578.05 |
| 08-20 02:30 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9187241379 | $532.86 |
| 08-12 21:08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $83.46 |
| 08-10 04:12 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.73 |
| 08-10 03:30 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $348.00 |
| 08-08 04:00 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.1k |