bignewsagencypro
0xd029b13f2e562c77e2db3e5eda140cee79a44fc1
- Realised P&L
- $17.2k
- Volume
- $174.9k
- Markets traded
- 6,350
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded6,350
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.875 | $3.7k | +$919.11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.809 | 0.720 | $1.8k | −$225.30 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.455 | $9.10 | −$0.10 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No | 0.800 | 0.865 | $8.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.080 | $3.20 | −$5.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.200Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
- +$4.5kat 0.151Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.224Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$923.06at 0.630Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
- +$592.75at 0.872Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 00:26 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9958516734 | $223.17 |
| 07-27 10:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 07-27 10:42 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.8199833611 | $24.64 |
| 07-27 10:10 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 07-26 12:57 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 07-25 13:41 | Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $337.92 |
| 07-25 09:55 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6678723404 | $15.69 |
| 07-25 07:38 | Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 07-24 22:53 | Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $127.61 |
| 07-24 22:21 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $11.34 |
| 07-24 22:00 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $6.31 |
| 07-24 20:52 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 07-24 20:34 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.55 |
| 07-24 20:08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2638014551 | $110.23 |
| 07-22 03:12 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.909 | $90.90 |