cst-551
0x2ab546baec1fbf0c35212e5723f6bb6bc61d1d6e
- Realised P&L
- $924.40
- Volume
- $105.8k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$428.13at 0.492Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?
- +$337.22at 0.605Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$330.00at 0.451Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$248.00at 0.774Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$238.00at 0.339Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 15:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.846 | $4.23 |
| 08-06 14:02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 07-31 10:32 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 07-31 10:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 07-28 12:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $271.99 |
| 07-28 12:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $121.50 |
| 07-28 12:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $255.00 |
| 07-21 18:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 07-21 18:07 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $51.60 |
| 07-08 12:58 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 07-08 12:53 | Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.996 | $89.64 |
| 07-08 12:50 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.24 |
| 07-07 17:13 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? | BUY | 0.85 | $25.50 |
| 07-07 17:13 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? | BUY | 0.85 | $25.50 |
| 07-07 17:13 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |