0x125c55bb45060ba96d5994e8f6411f28b3eb7463

Realised P&L: $91.75
Volume: $9.2k
Markets traded: 92
Open portfolio: $22.03

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%: Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded92: Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position: Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions: Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%: Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position: Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
Market	Avg	Now	Value	Unrealised
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · No	0.240	0.650	$5.42	+$3.42
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes	0.015	0.026	$3.56	+$1.56
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes	0.115	0.094	$3.27	−$0.73
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · No	0.080	0.130	$3.25	+$1.25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes	0.090	0.075	$1.67	−$0.33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No	0.080	0.061	$1.52	−$0.47
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · No	0.031	0.015	$1.00	−$1.00
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? · Yes	0.090	0.045	$1.00	−$1.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No	0.117	0.028	$0.48	−$1.52
ECB rate cut in 2026? · Yes	0.117	0.025	$0.44	−$1.56
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes	0.235	0.050	$0.43	−$1.57
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? · Yes	0.160	0.000	$0.00	−$2.00
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? · No	0.110	0.000	$0.00	−$2.00
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · No	0.090	0.000	$0.00	−$2.00
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · No	0.027	0.000	$0.00	−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

+$47.09at 0.039Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
+$26.46at 0.074Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?
+$23.97at 0.070Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
+$22.91at 0.081Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
+$14.13at 0.105Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
Time	Market	Side	Price	Value
10-30 05:52	Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	BUY	0.0491287025	$2.00
10-28 14:03	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.0149999999	$2.00
10-28 14:02	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.01	$2.00
10-28 13:51	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	BUY	0.001	$2.00
10-26 13:07	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.0802234641	$2.00
10-26 13:06	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.08	$2.00
10-26 13:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.0559999996	$2.00
10-26 13:04	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	SELL	0.82	$16.40
10-21 20:29	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.0309999995	$2.00
10-08 20:35	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?	BUY	0.1	$2.00
10-08 20:28	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	SELL	0.45	$7.50
10-07 05:29	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BUY	0.1	$2.00
10-07 05:28	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.069999999	$2.00
10-04 12:17	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	BUY	0.1	$2.00
10-04 12:17	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.0599999988	$2.00