0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960
0x6bab66c4bb24c96ed14dcca0f0979b38a6830fe5
- Realised P&L
- $129.3k
- Volume
- $13.41M
- Markets traded
- 455
- Open portfolio
- $100.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded455
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.6kat 0.390Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$22.2kat 0.413Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
- +$19.4kat 0.380Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$16.1kat 0.225Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$12.0kat 0.834Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:21 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9653467959 | $2.1k |
| 10-31 19:45 | Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.989 | $243.80 |
| 10-31 19:30 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30? | BUY | 0.7972918077 | $235.52 |
| 10-31 18:18 | Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.9569845808 | $1.3k |
| 10-31 16:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.7435087384 | $2.3k |
| 10-31 16:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.966815911 | $11.6k |
| 10-31 13:47 | Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.56 |
| 10-31 11:08 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $85.79 |
| 10-31 10:24 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $229.98 |
| 10-31 10:23 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.657178083 | $6.4k |
| 10-31 08:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | SELL | 0.86 | $633.82 |
| 10-31 08:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | SELL | 0.84 | $586.31 |
| 10-31 08:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6419378031 | $831.26 |
| 10-31 08:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.8661978796 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 07:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6629869627 | $2.2k |