0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960
0x6bab66c4bb24c96ed14dcca0f0979b38a6830fe5
- Realised P&L
- $99.0k
- Volume
- $12.74M
- Markets traded
- 395
- Open portfolio
- $115.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded395
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.0kat 0.834Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
- +$9.8kat 0.543SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$9.0kat 0.598Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
- +$7.8kat 0.814SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
- +$6.7kat 0.628Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:27 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.39 | $940.29 |
| 09-14 16:25 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9021613578 | $4.8k |
| 09-13 08:14 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.6k |
| 09-12 19:22 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.29 | $586.73 |
| 09-12 08:05 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.851 | $50.03 |
| 09-11 18:33 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.8497554414 | $2.1k |
| 09-11 08:46 | Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8425337195 | $610.92 |
| 09-10 18:43 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-10 15:17 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8575862743 | $1.0k |
| 09-10 03:57 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.17 | $506.75 |
| 09-09 20:00 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $317.34 |
| 09-09 17:44 | Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8445454545 | $37.16 |
| 09-09 17:42 | Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.81 | $113.40 |
| 09-09 16:40 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.841 | $4.1k |
| 09-09 05:22 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.16 | $61.44 |