PolyBot

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Traders

0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960

0x6bab66c4bb24c96ed14dcca0f0979b38a6830fe5

Realised P&L
$129.3k
Volume
$13.41M
Markets traded
455
Open portfolio
$100.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded455
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7240.875$17.9k+$3.1k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · Yes0.9550.974$15.7k+$307.51
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.5350.885$15.0k+$5.9k
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? · No0.9390.982$9.7k+$421.55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · Yes0.8830.930$9.3k+$467.82
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? · No0.8680.994$7.1k+$903.93
Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.8410.962$4.5k+$563.46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? · Yes0.8700.895$4.0k+$111.53
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8810.925$3.3k+$157.80
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? · No0.8940.930$2.9k+$112.73
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2010.963$1.7k+$1.3k
Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? · No0.8780.996$1.5k+$181.24
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.7430.820$1.2k+$116.75
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8500.875$1.1k+$30.00
Will RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.8960.893$864.82−$2.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:21Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.9653467959$2.1k
10-31 19:45Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?SELL0.989$243.80
10-31 19:30Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?BUY0.7972918077$235.52
10-31 18:18Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.9569845808$1.3k
10-31 16:46US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?SELL0.7435087384$2.3k
10-31 16:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.966815911$11.6k
10-31 13:47Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?SELL0.999$0.56
10-31 11:08Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?BUY0.78$85.79
10-31 10:24Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.65$229.98
10-31 10:23Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.657178083$6.4k
10-31 08:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?SELL0.86$633.82
10-31 08:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?SELL0.84$586.31
10-31 08:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?SELL0.6419378031$831.26
10-31 08:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?SELL0.8661978796$1.5k
10-31 07:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?SELL0.6629869627$2.2k