Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.84. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.80. Range 0.66 to 0.91. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	208	208
0.86	421	629
0.87	1,043	1,672
0.88	1,401	3,073
0.89	5,075	8,148
0.90	1,000	9,148
0.91	55	9,203
0.92	46	9,249
0.93	178	9,427
0.94	167	9,594
0.95	200	9,794
0.96	144	9,938

Spread0.01Mid0.84

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	2,342	2,342
0.83	779	3,121
0.82	1,449	4,571
0.76	250	4,821
0.75	1,000	5,821
0.68	50	5,871
0.42	130	6,001
0.41	483	6,484
0.35	90	6,574
0.34	110	6,684
0.08	8	6,691
0.07	1,428	8,119

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	2,342	2,342
0.17	779	3,121
0.18	1,449	4,571
0.24	250	4,821
0.25	1,000	5,821
0.32	50	5,871
0.58	130	6,001
0.59	483	6,484
0.65	90	6,574
0.66	110	6,684
0.92	8	6,691
0.93	1,428	8,119

Spread0.01Mid0.15

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	208	208
0.14	421	629
0.13	1,043	1,672
0.12	1,401	3,073
0.11	5,075	8,148
0.10	1,000	9,148
0.09	55	9,203
0.08	46	9,249
0.07	178	9,427
0.06	167	9,594
0.05	200	9,794
0.04	144	9,938

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x84828283773829	Yes	2,094.36
K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE	Yes	563.94
0x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-1766855317883	Yes	539.57
lisa67	Yes	400
Zabahudin	Yes	381.84
meta-muse	Yes	378.13
MatrixBreaker-HR48	Yes	277.17
X-Rabbit.Sezu	Yes	270
btfrs	Yes	235.29
samson28	Yes	216.76
0x31ad…4073	Yes	200
Praescientia	Yes	165.93
CRYPTUSPUBLIC	Yes	155.52
pepitopotato	Yes	142.42
Alex-Wu	Yes	105.26
ImbaB	Yes	102
0xb9d6…e672	Yes	100
RATHMA4	Yes	100
15billionplus	Yes	98.28
Blurry-Ball	Yes	50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:11:40	SELL	Yes	0.84	95	$80.02
12:09:48	BUY	Yes	0.8499998601	6	$4.86
00:54:24	SELL	Yes	0.85	27	$22.95
00:27:27	SELL	Yes	0.8497966667	150	$127.47
00:27:27	BUY	No	0.16	30	$4.80
00:27:25	BUY	No	0.16	20	$3.20
23:05:36	SELL	Yes	0.85	2	$1.31
23:05:34	SELL	Yes	0.85	50	$42.38
18:54:49	BUY	No	0.14	300	$42.00
18:54:49	BUY	No	0.15	30	$4.50
18:54:48	BUY	No	0.15	14	$2.10
05:07:12	SELL	No	0.1105168493	387	$42.77
13:59:24	SELL	No	0.12	152	$18.24
20:34:40	SELL	Yes	0.86	50	$43.00
19:58:52	BUY	No	0.0998054475	257	$25.65
19:24:34	SELL	No	0.11	120	$13.20
19:07:55	BUY	No	0.1241531323	86	$10.70
19:07:55	BUY	Yes	0.84	36	$30.07
19:07:40	BUY	No	0.13	30	$3.90
17:56:02	SELL	Yes	0.89	44	$39.55
17:43:19	SELL	No	0.06	7	$0.44
17:43:19	SELL	No	0.0675730009	178	$12.03
17:41:28	SELL	No	0.1278495954	3,419	$437.16
17:41:28	BUY	No	0.13	150	$19.50
17:40:04	BUY	Yes	0.8599999964	33	$28.72