btfrs
0xd175101601c7d2dc4f080f117b0dad25187abb3a
- Realised P&L
- $690.60
- Volume
- $96.0k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.669Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$696.00at 0.785Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$598.94at 0.722Ethereum above $2,400 on June 27?
- +$512.06at 0.700Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?
- +$445.16at 0.310Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:39 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.7063315295 | $300.00 |
| 08-05 20:43 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.7389429502 | $150.00 |
| 08-01 17:11 | Nothing Ever Happens: August | BUY | 0.8058382661 | $300.00 |
| 08-01 17:07 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $300.00 |
| 07-27 07:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8029999968 | $200.00 |
| 07-27 07:22 | Will Solana reach $80 in July? | BUY | 0.6434889391 | $200.00 |
| 07-27 04:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $200.00 |
| 07-26 12:25 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5309422934 | $149.88 |
| 07-26 12:22 | Will it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9692902856 | $200.00 |
| 07-26 11:50 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7699999994 | $300.00 |
| 07-25 08:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.8 | $400.00 |
| 07-24 08:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? | BUY | 0.5999999994 | $200.00 |
| 07-24 08:06 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7777445407 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 22:10 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.5359762471 | $300.00 |
| 07-16 14:12 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999998 | $400.00 |