PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

btfrs

0xd175101601c7d2dc4f080f117b0dad25187abb3a

Realised P&L
$-628.75
Volume
$126.3k
Markets traded
256
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded256
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6860.850$619.63+$119.63
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October? · No0.7720.860$511.99+$52.13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9300.935$502.69+$2.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · No0.6730.595$441.88−$58.12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8700.945$434.48+$34.48
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7430.805$433.13+$33.13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.7360.960$391.04+$91.04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7701.000$389.48+$89.48
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in October? · No0.6260.770$369.02+$69.02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6780.645$361.48−$18.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.8300.976$352.59+$52.59
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8240.940$342.31+$42.31
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · No0.8510.962$339.08+$39.08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.4250.476$336.29+$36.29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.785$314.00+$14.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 20:59Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.5150631681$500.00
10-01 20:55Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in October?BUY0.6259886643$300.00
10-01 20:54Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October?BUY0.7724412941$459.87
10-01 20:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.6732673266$500.00
10-01 20:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.8499999996$100.00
10-01 20:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.8499999996$100.00
09-30 14:01Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?SELL0.034$0.67
09-29 09:02US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.5799999995$178.00
09-24 07:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?BUY0.9109999976$160.00
09-22 10:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?SELL0.4702857143$164.60
09-16 11:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7099999996$80.00
09-16 11:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.7608695651$250.00
09-16 11:16Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.748510763$250.00
09-14 18:27Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?BUY0.5299999982$120.43
09-14 18:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.5259211106$200.00