btfrs
0xd175101601c7d2dc4f080f117b0dad25187abb3a
- Realised P&L
- $-628.75
- Volume
- $126.3k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.669Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$696.00at 0.785Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$598.94at 0.722Ethereum above $2,400 on June 27?
- +$512.06at 0.700Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?
- +$445.16at 0.310Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 20:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.5150631681 | $500.00 |
| 10-01 20:55 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in October? | BUY | 0.6259886643 | $300.00 |
| 10-01 20:54 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October? | BUY | 0.7724412941 | $459.87 |
| 10-01 20:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.6732673266 | $500.00 |
| 10-01 20:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 20:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 14:01 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.67 |
| 09-29 09:02 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5799999995 | $178.00 |
| 09-24 07:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.9109999976 | $160.00 |
| 09-22 10:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.4702857143 | $164.60 |
| 09-16 11:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7099999996 | $80.00 |
| 09-16 11:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7608695651 | $250.00 |
| 09-16 11:16 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.748510763 | $250.00 |
| 09-14 18:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5299999982 | $120.43 |
| 09-14 18:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.5259211106 | $200.00 |