PolyBot

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Traders

btfrs

0xd175101601c7d2dc4f080f117b0dad25187abb3a

Realised P&L
$690.60
Volume
$96.0k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.5360.875$489.76+$189.76
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6860.655$477.48$22.52
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7430.845$454.65+$54.65
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8700.915$420.69+$20.69
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8240.915$333.20+$33.20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.765$306.00+$6.00
Nothing Ever Happens: August · Nothing0.8060.820$305.27+$5.27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8900.865$291.57$8.43
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.7060.680$288.82$11.18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7700.705$274.72$25.28
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7900.870$226.20+$20.80
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8280.845$204.11+$4.11
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.7780.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 22:39Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.7063315295$300.00
08-05 20:43Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence PlayoffsBUY0.7389429502$150.00
08-01 17:11Nothing Ever Happens: AugustBUY0.8058382661$300.00
08-01 17:07NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$300.00
07-27 07:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8029999968$200.00
07-27 07:22Will Solana reach $80 in July?BUY0.6434889391$200.00
07-27 04:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.88$200.00
07-26 12:25Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.5309422934$149.88
07-26 12:22Will it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.9692902856$200.00
07-26 11:50Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7699999994$300.00
07-25 08:25Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.8$400.00
07-24 08:13Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?BUY0.5999999994$200.00
07-24 08:06Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7777445407$300.00
07-19 22:10Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.5359762471$300.00
07-16 14:12Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.8699999998$400.00