PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

samson28

0x5c3a91341234a57c487db73d0f05676bd346c9e1

Realised P&L
$-476.12
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$183.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6600.845$183.16+$40.10
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31? · No0.5600.000$0.00−$11.20
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31? · No0.7810.000$0.00−$114.77
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? · Yes0.5490.000$0.00−$90.88
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$240.00
Will "Resident Evil" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$176.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 09:29Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6599999993$143.06
09-26 06:56OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 26?BUY0.7098568928$94.00
09-09 14:40Will "Resident Evil" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.7304812098$176.00
08-21 13:02Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7914324608$102.00
07-23 11:36US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.5599999975$61.90
07-23 11:35US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9835960656$15.00
06-25 03:26Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999996$98.29
06-25 03:24US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9$100.80
06-16 11:47US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7333926065$130.00
06-01 02:20Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?BUY0.729999994$94.99
05-21 13:59Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?BUY0.84375$67.50
05-21 13:37Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?BUY0.71$9.94
05-21 13:37Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31?BUY0.56$11.20
05-21 13:26Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?BUY0.706875$11.31
05-21 13:26Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?BUY0.7033486486$26.02