Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.39. up 0.15 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.10 to 0.51. 102 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.38	138	138
0.39	173	311
0.40	386	697
0.41	1,715	2,412
0.42	365	2,777
0.43	16	2,793
0.48	300	3,093
0.55	300	3,393
0.64	300	3,693
0.73	300	3,993
0.74	80	4,073
0.84	11	4,084

Spread0.01Mid0.38

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.37	63	63
0.29	10	73
0.28	10	83
0.27	20	103
0.26	2,155	2,258
0.15	47	2,305
0.13	85	2,390
0.12	20	2,410
0.10	51	2,461
0.04	24	2,485
0.02	7	2,492
0.01	10	2,502

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.63	63	63
0.71	10	73
0.72	10	83
0.73	20	103
0.74	2,155	2,258
0.85	47	2,305
0.87	85	2,390
0.88	20	2,410
0.90	51	2,461
0.96	24	2,485
0.98	7	2,492
0.99	10	2,502

Spread0.01Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.62	138	138
0.61	173	311
0.60	386	697
0.59	1,715	2,412
0.58	365	2,777
0.57	16	2,793
0.52	300	3,093
0.45	300	3,393
0.36	300	3,693
0.27	300	3,993
0.26	80	4,073
0.16	11	4,084

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
user089	Yes	337.74
molodoyy	Yes	333
AJSV	Yes	54.83
GuyFromTinder	Yes	36.82
alepsaurio777	Yes	21.18
dgfd76	Yes	20
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	18.94
0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263	Yes	13.89
luciebot	Yes	2.83
enderwnd	Yes	2.31
0xa5ef…2966	No	519.11
Fihdrzgdd	No	100
sdssds	No	40
rocky42008	No	31
a5533	No	21.5
marketmakere	No	20
Slackjaw	No	20
0xcca3…c872	No	20
cigarettes	No	20
ddd1d43	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:06:03	BUY	No	0.62	15	$9.30
12:06:03	BUY	No	0.62	2	$1.35
11:54:15	BUY	No	0.63	20	$12.60
11:53:02	SELL	No	0.6105793014	46	$28.14
11:53:02	SELL	No	0.61	4	$2.39
11:52:57	BUY	Yes	0.3599999971	14	$5.00
11:52:56	BUY	Yes	0.3292792793	333	$109.65
11:30:06	BUY	No	0.73	20	$14.60
11:27:00	BUY	No	0.72	30	$21.60
11:26:59	BUY	No	0.72	50	$36.00
11:02:35	BUY	No	0.72	5	$3.60
10:22:45	BUY	Yes	0.299999997	33	$9.86
07:59:47	SELL	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
06:34:15	SELL	Yes	0.16	5	$0.80
03:11:59	SELL	No	0.65	13	$8.20
03:05:59	SELL	No	0.66	10	$6.60
02:59:59	SELL	No	0.66	10	$6.60
02:00:59	SELL	No	0.63	24	$15.12
01:59:59	SELL	Yes	0.36	5	$1.78
01:59:57	SELL	No	0.65	20	$13.00
01:59:26	SELL	Yes	0.37	9	$3.36
01:59:26	BUY	No	0.58	20	$11.60
01:59:24	SELL	Yes	0.4274280445	483	$206.27
01:59:24	BUY	No	0.58	6	$3.47
23:44:32	BUY	No	0.57	10	$5.70