PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

user089

0x4ef3f1f4dcd804c5ed585d18f1c77700ae677bd0

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$184.7k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$390.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.3000.320$337.34+$20.59
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? · Yes0.1460.205$53.09+$15.27
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$60.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 17:50Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?BUY0.15$13.35
09-18 17:37Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?BUY0.14$14.42
08-31 15:31Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.02$0.20
08-31 15:17Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?SELL0.3952323232$733.65
08-31 14:33Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.5793610224$181.34
08-28 22:52Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2892768681$62.37
08-28 22:38Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3102059732$75.30
08-28 22:36Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2710485797$76.05
08-28 22:35Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.25$22.32
08-28 22:35Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2390834097$15.65
08-28 22:32Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.23$92.00
08-28 22:31Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.22$44.00
08-07 04:50Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.134029625$277.42
07-23 12:14Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?SELL0.92$653.20
07-22 19:45Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.3288690323$101.95