PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alepsaurio777

0xa0f00313d2db1a6973441766c42b53ddafa0f07b

Realised P&L
$-2.16
Volume
$113.10
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$17.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration65.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6000.515$10.45−$1.73
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026? · Yes0.4500.325$6.88−$2.65
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$3.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 19:04Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?BUY0.4499999953$9.53
09-25 16:02Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.81$7.91
09-25 16:01Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 25?SELL0.999$7.99
09-23 16:53Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?BUY0.6$3.52
09-23 16:52Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 23?SELL0.37$3.70
09-23 16:45Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 23?BUY0.51$5.09
09-23 16:45Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?SELL0.50677$5.07
09-22 23:54Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 25?BUY0.562$4.50
09-22 23:53Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?BUY0.69$6.90
09-22 23:36Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6$3.07