Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-25
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.10 to 0.28. 53 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	15	15
0.22	14	29
0.26	11	40
0.28	18	58
0.29	30	88
0.30	205	293
0.31	5	298
0.34	107	405
0.35	253	658
0.79	90	748
0.80	400	1,148
0.81	54	1,202

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	33	33
0.13	170	202
0.12	200	402
0.10	51	453
0.08	40	493
0.05	80	573
0.04	96	669
0.01	5	674

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	33	33
0.87	170	202
0.88	200	402
0.90	51	453
0.92	40	493
0.95	80	573
0.96	96	669
0.99	5	674

Spread0.01Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	15	15
0.78	14	29
0.74	11	40
0.72	18	58
0.71	30	88
0.70	205	293
0.69	5	298
0.66	107	405
0.65	253	658
0.21	90	748
0.20	400	1,148
0.19	54	1,202

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	2,279.99
molodoyy	Yes	228
kamikazeman	Yes	80.5
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	43.22
AJSV	Yes	34.27
johnthek	Yes	32.67
frontiertrade	Yes	30
FB87dB8	Yes	20
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	19.25
lifeisahighway	Yes	14.88
lightsout912	Yes	14.32
0x57f4d87754D4169f369d64a34A4E8FB405958195-1765237287086	Yes	10
ChebupeliFlex	Yes	10
0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263	Yes	5.68
angesan	Yes	5.56
0x650844936217681945a434406fFb7eaF5964245C-1736880046268	Yes	5.26
piggyramen	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	2,637.75
2B9S	No	72.23
GuyFromTinder	No	60.72

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:22:07	BUY	No	0.86	5	$4.33
18:23:46	BUY	No	0.849999915	1	$1.00
18:23:30	BUY	No	0.85	2	$1.32
18:23:13	SELL	Yes	0.15	5	$0.75
18:23:13	BUY	No	0.85	14	$11.86
18:23:12	BUY	No	0.85	3	$2.55
18:23:12	BUY	No	0.85	25	$21.25
18:23:10	BUY	No	0.85	14	$11.47
18:23:10	BUY	No	0.85	25	$21.25
18:23:10	BUY	No	0.85	10	$8.50
18:23:10	BUY	No	0.85	2	$1.53
18:07:43	SELL	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
18:07:39	SELL	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
16:07:16	SELL	Yes	0.18	15	$2.68
16:07:13	BUY	No	0.82	32	$26.24
16:07:12	BUY	No	0.8199999985	55	$45.00
15:26:31	BUY	Yes	0.2	10	$2.00
15:23:10	SELL	Yes	0.19	20	$3.80
15:21:24	BUY	No	0.8	20	$16.00
11:59:13	SELL	Yes	0.19	12	$2.34
09:58:51	BUY	No	0.8099999854	12	$10.00
07:39:54	BUY	No	0.79	5	$4.16
05:21:24	BUY	No	0.79	20	$16.17
05:21:22	BUY	Yes	0.2199999683	6	$1.25
05:21:22	BUY	Yes	0.21	5	$1.05