PolyBot

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Traders

0x57f4d87754D4169f369d64a34A4E8FB405958195-1765237287086

0x57f4d87754d4169f369d64a34a4e8fb405958195

Realised P&L
$-31.61
Volume
$808.90
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$1.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026? · Yes0.2000.145$1.45$0.55
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? · Yes0.2100.026$0.25$1.75
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$1.00
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? · Yes0.4730.000$0.00$5.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$2.00
Claude 4.8 released by June 15? · No0.0570.000$0.00$5.00
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.9400.000$0.00$5.00
Claude 4.8 released by May 31? · No0.2850.000$0.00$10.00
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Up0.4830.000$0.00$15.00
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026? · Yes0.6930.000$0.00$2.00
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 15:26Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-16 08:14Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
08-05 16:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026?SELL0.051$0.55
08-05 15:57Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026?BUY0.2069998733$1.00
08-05 15:54Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026?BUY0.1692306547$1.00
07-24 16:38Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?BUY0.8899999858$5.00
07-23 16:50Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?BUY0.579999826$1.00
07-23 15:02Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?BUY0.859999914$1.00
07-08 16:05Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
07-08 16:03Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.63$1.00
07-05 22:15GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?BUY0.69$4.00
07-05 16:38Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?BUY0.5969994746$1.00
06-18 13:27Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
06-18 13:17Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.63$1.00
06-16 15:09Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?BUY0.2899998666$1.00