0x650844936217681945a434406fFb7eaF5964245C-1736880046268
0x17b0f5072e05e99283f8bd9df06af4381c1c21b3
- Realised P&L
- $13.50
- Volume
- $67.66
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $13.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.320 | $12.25 | +$11.25 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.140 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.055 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.06at 0.560Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:16 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 05:16 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 05:15 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0260869357 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 01:36 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $8.18 |
| 09-16 02:50 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $5.00 |