PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x650844936217681945a434406fFb7eaF5964245C-1736880046268

0x17b0f5072e05e99283f8bd9df06af4381c1c21b3

Realised P&L
$13.50
Volume
$67.66
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$13.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar19.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.0260.320$12.25+$11.25
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026? · Yes0.1900.140$0.74$0.26
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? · Yes0.1700.055$0.32$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 05:16Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-18 05:16Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-18 05:15Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.0260869357$1.00
09-17 01:36Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?SELL0.9$8.18
09-16 02:50Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?BUY0.549999945$5.00