PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-21
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.19 over the period, from 0.28. Range 0.09 to 0.71. 21 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.10132132
0.11100232
0.13150382
0.14100482
0.15100582
0.2111593
0.22200793
0.3045838
0.3512850
0.416856
0.4530886
0.4920906

Spread0.02Mid0.09

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.088080
0.06650730
0.05159889
0.047821,671
0.036742,345
0.027173,062
0.012,5185,580

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.928080
0.94650730
0.95159889
0.967821,671
0.976742,345
0.987173,062
0.992,5185,580

Spread0.02Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.90132132
0.89100232
0.87150382
0.86100482
0.85100582
0.7911593
0.78200793
0.7045838
0.6512850
0.596856
0.5530886
0.5120906

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balabalababalabalaYes399.99
GuyFromTinderYes349.99
BlackwaterdddYes286.41
nana130299Yes120
Hyp3rionYes95.24
0x6196…6208Yes82.44
lissartterYes73.39
0xCB464d7954Fdc336632d7A6D04E44635ed6d4B56-1783029449389Yes45
sdssdsYes40
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
AJSVYes24.98
youtube-traderYes21
Numitus1994Yes20.99
0x888888888Yes20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
fastpeterYes20
iwanttoberichpleaseYes20
FB87dB8Yes20
misha-d1Yes15.75
0x4984…1c54Yes10.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:50:48SELLYes0.0820$1.60
13:53:21SELLYes0.150$5.00
13:47:54SELLYes0.156$5.63
13:30:48SELLYes0.181$8.10
13:09:34BUYNo0.96$4.99
12:55:07SELLYes0.116062540$4.64
12:40:21BUYYes0.1319$2.51
12:40:12BUYYes0.1321$2.69
12:35:15SELLYes0.12120$14.40
12:34:21BUYYes0.1410$1.45
12:25:22BUYYes0.1422$3.04
12:24:54BUYYes0.1461$8.55
12:24:09SELLYes0.122246666730$3.67
12:23:46SELLYes0.1320$2.60
12:23:37SELLYes0.1407420$2.81
12:23:34BUYNo0.80690949811,032$832.39
12:02:37BUYNo0.78999986571$1.00
10:53:36BUYNo0.830$24.00
10:36:54BUYYes0.2199999785$1.00
10:36:46BUYNo0.81$1.00
10:36:40BUYYes0.2199999785$1.00
10:36:40BUYNo0.83$2.09
10:36:37BUYNo0.81$1.10
10:36:36BUYNo0.81$1.00
10:36:30BUYYes0.21999998277$1.53