0xCB464d7954Fdc336632d7A6D04E44635ed6d4B56-1783029449389
0xcb464d7954fdc336632d7a6d04e44635ed6d4b56
- Realised P&L
- $95.63
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $11.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.18at 0.165U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$5.30at 0.140Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?
- +$1.21at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$0.10at 0.120Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?
- +$-0.09at 0.130Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:39 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.59 |
| 09-14 11:24 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 09-14 04:32 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.11 | $19.69 |
| 09-13 06:44 | Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.63 |
| 09-13 06:44 | Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.079 | $1.58 |
| 09-12 11:11 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? | SELL | 0.02515 | $0.80 |
| 09-12 11:10 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.32 |
| 09-11 15:31 | Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 09-11 03:46 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 09-11 03:25 | LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.36 |
| 09-11 03:25 | LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.10 |
| 09-11 00:28 | Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 09-10 11:46 | Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.60 |
| 09-10 11:46 | Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.72 |
| 09-10 04:44 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |