PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCB464d7954Fdc336632d7A6D04E44635ed6d4B56-1783029449389

0xcb464d7954fdc336632d7a6d04e44635ed6d4b56

Realised P&L
$95.63
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$11.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? · Yes0.1400.100$5.80$2.32
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026? · No0.1700.170$4.93+$0.00
Will "Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.2100.200$1.00$0.05
BNB Up or Down - July 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
XRP Up or Down - July 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$10.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$9.99
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.0470.000$0.00$1.00
XRP Up or Down - July 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$15.00
XRP Up or Down - July 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 11:39Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?SELL0.36$1.59
09-14 11:24Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?SELL0.14$5.60
09-14 04:32Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.11$19.69
09-13 06:44Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?SELL0.033$0.63
09-13 06:44Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?SELL0.079$1.58
09-12 11:11Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?SELL0.02515$0.80
09-12 11:10Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?SELL0.04$0.32
09-11 15:31Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19?SELL0.07$3.50
09-11 03:46Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.13$6.50
09-11 03:25LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.08$0.36
09-11 03:25LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.09$4.10
09-11 00:28Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?SELL0.06$3.00
09-10 11:46Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?SELL0.1$0.60
09-10 11:46Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?SELL0.13$5.72
09-10 04:44Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?SELL0.13$2.60