PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x498443c56b7a07470a844378d22a8e5d27601c54

0x498443c56b7a07470a844378d22a8e5d27601c54

Realised P&L
$20.60
Volume
$348.62
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$6.81

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? · No0.7400.770$2.38+$0.09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No0.7500.800$1.07+$0.07
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in September? · No0.6600.695$1.05+$0.05
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · No0.4500.385$0.86−$0.14
Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes0.2600.195$0.75−$0.25
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.2500.175$0.70−$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 06:20Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-26 22:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.749999625$1.00
09-26 07:01Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.25$1.00
09-25 20:44Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-25 12:31Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-25 04:16SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-24 05:42Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.2399999916$2.29
09-23 21:41Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in September?BUY0.7399999741$2.29
09-23 13:29Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3899999915$2.29
09-23 05:28Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?BUY0.7399999741$2.29
09-23 05:19Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.2799999804$2.29
09-19 07:30Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.64$2.29
09-18 20:30Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.6699998917$2.29
09-18 11:23Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.4399999539$2.29
09-17 21:39S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 18?BUY0.2699999835$2.29