Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-07-01
- Resolves by
- https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 498 | 498 |
| 0.24 | 9 | 507 |
| 0.26 | 299 | 806 |
| 0.48 | 150 | 956 |
| 0.59 | 435 | 1,391 |
| 0.93 | 5 | 1,396 |
| 0.96 | 16 | 1,412 |
| 0.97 | 66 | 1,478 |
| 0.98 | 53 | 1,531 |
| 0.99 | 16 | 1,547 |
Spread0.04Mid0.19
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 267 | 267 |
| 0.16 | 34 | 301 |
| 0.08 | 21 | 322 |
| 0.03 | 23 | 345 |
| 0.02 | 47 | 392 |
| 0.01 | 11 | 403 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | 267 | 267 |
| 0.84 | 34 | 301 |
| 0.92 | 21 | 322 |
| 0.97 | 23 | 345 |
| 0.98 | 47 | 392 |
| 0.99 | 11 | 403 |
Spread0.04Mid0.81
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 498 | 498 |
| 0.76 | 9 | 507 |
| 0.74 | 299 | 806 |
| 0.52 | 150 | 956 |
| 0.41 | 435 | 1,391 |
| 0.07 | 5 | 1,396 |
| 0.04 | 16 | 1,412 |
| 0.03 | 66 | 1,478 |
| 0.02 | 53 | 1,531 |
| 0.01 | 16 | 1,547 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AIbubble | Yes | 50.8 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 40 |
| chaosj89 | Yes | 29 |
| vinii | Yes | 25 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 20 |
| scotsban | Yes | 20 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 11.46 |
| smarterstrat | Yes | 8.72 |
| 0xee36…fc18 | Yes | 5.26 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 89.24 |
| Haradwaith | No | 53.17 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 21.9 |
| Hannah-Montana | No | 20.78 |
| Carabao | No | 20 |
| title1 | No | 18.85 |
| PPMT | No | 1.78 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | No | 1.76 |
| Welcome2026 | No | 1.2 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:15:55 | SELL | Yes | 0.17 | 1 | $0.14 |
| 13:30:07 | SELL | Yes | 0.17 | 50 | $8.50 |
| 06:18:58 | BUY | No | 0.84 | 39 | $32.68 |
| 01:42:31 | SELL | No | 0.81 | 72 | $58.32 |
| 01:40:22 | BUY | Yes | 0.2 | 31 | $6.16 |
| 01:40:22 | SELL | No | 0.8075934579 | 171 | $138.26 |
| 15:53:46 | BUY | Yes | 0.16 | 11 | $1.83 |
| 11:36:10 | BUY | No | 0.83 | 19 | $15.66 |
| 11:49:13 | SELL | Yes | 0.15 | 20 | $2.98 |
| 07:15:11 | SELL | Yes | 0.17 | 1 | $0.14 |
| 05:11:28 | BUY | No | 0.829999502 | 1 | $1.00 |
| 05:11:25 | BUY | Yes | 0.1916952616 | 21 | $3.99 |
| 05:11:25 | BUY | Yes | 0.18 | 20 | $3.60 |
| 15:50:12 | SELL | Yes | 0.1684683544 | 24 | $3.99 |
| 15:49:48 | SELL | Yes | 0.18 | 19 | $3.43 |
| 01:35:11 | BUY | Yes | 0.16 | 19 | $3.05 |
| 01:24:09 | BUY | Yes | 0.179999999 | 20 | $3.58 |
| 01:22:08 | BUY | Yes | 0.2 | 24 | $4.74 |
| 18:57:12 | BUY | Yes | 0.19 | 9 | $1.71 |
| 11:23:56 | SELL | No | 0.81 | 2 | $1.44 |
| 10:40:26 | SELL | No | 0.8 | 18 | $14.40 |
| 10:39:35 | BUY | Yes | 0.21 | 18 | $3.78 |
| 10:39:33 | BUY | Yes | 0.18 | 40 | $7.20 |
| 00:43:50 | BUY | Yes | 0.23 | 20 | $4.60 |
| 10:55:30 | BUY | Yes | 0.1647037234 | 188 | $30.96 |