PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x1214f1c5b69955a2719831a8f37c71ff9e1febec

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
620
Open portfolio
$550.93

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded620
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans lose any "Solid Republican" House race? · Yes0.5920.695$97.08+$14.37
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4110.515$92.70+$18.79
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6840.855$82.59+$16.55
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6320.624$79.62−$1.09
Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0110.051$41.25+$32.44
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? · Yes0.2200.325$30.43+$9.83
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0580.023$25.30−$38.93
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k? · No0.4000.675$18.90+$7.70
Over $40M committed to the over.computer public sale? · No0.7500.790$15.80+$0.80
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0020.004$13.43+$5.75
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1700.190$9.65+$1.02
Logan Paul and Tom Brady sanctioned fight announced in 2026? · Yes0.0300.502$8.53+$8.02
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20? · Yes0.1660.135$7.68−$1.74
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M? · No0.0730.036$7.19−$7.42
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0020.005$4.35+$2.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 20:14Will Republicans lose any "Solid Republican" House race?BUY0.61$57.76
11-02 12:11Will "Wicker" score at least 88 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9918333194$119.01
11-02 10:27Will "LISA - Press Play" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?BUY0.991$19.82
11-02 10:25Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?BUY0.99$46.53
11-01 12:37Will "Wicker" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9796761031$232.90
11-01 08:08Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?BUY0.634$12.68
10-31 10:58Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?BUY0.8611494253$224.76
10-31 10:56Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?SELL0.83$33.20
10-31 07:49Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?BUY0.61$24.40
10-31 07:48Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?BUY0.67$13.40
10-31 07:39Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?BUY0.4798400984$39.01
10-30 18:09Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?BUY0.670499002$83.98
10-30 17:35Will Miley Cyrus appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.825$8.25
10-30 17:28Will Miley Cyrus appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.83$16.77
10-30 17:26Will Miley Cyrus appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.83$24.90