0xee36cfd8c5c48cf7ce8c6b65f0865e9fca55fc18
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 291
- Open portfolio
- $4.49
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded291
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31? · No | 0.890 | 0.963 | $2.04 | +$0.15 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.190 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.977 | 0.972 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.215 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.30at 0.167Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
- +$7.83at 0.408Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage
- +$6.36at 0.229Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5
- +$5.92at 0.260Counter-Strike: Overtake vs NuTorious - Map 2 Winner
- +$5.47at 0.275Will São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 14:00 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | SELL | 0.117 | $0.66 |
| 09-29 05:34 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.1759999747 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:47 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:13 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.74 |
| 09-28 16:01 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.67 |
| 09-28 10:26 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.967 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:26 | Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:23 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.86 |
| 09-28 10:20 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.66 |
| 09-25 17:37 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.09 |
| 09-24 17:19 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.09 |
| 09-24 01:50 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.08 |
| 09-23 14:49 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 09:10 | Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.962 | $0.98 |
| 09-16 17:26 | Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.976 | $1.01 |