PolyBot

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Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-08
Resolves by
https://elections.nz/
Rewards
50 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.35. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.38. Range 0.26 to 0.61. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.385757
0.39100157
0.40212368
0.4740408
0.5545453
0.5655508
0.6450558
0.6520578
0.75100678
0.764201,098
0.8471,105
0.858001,905

Spread0.06Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.327474
0.30274347
0.25300647
0.125652
0.105657
0.088051,462
0.0728,57130,034
0.0641,67271,705
0.0462,500134,205
0.039134,215
0.02150,007284,221

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.687474
0.70274347
0.75300647
0.885652
0.905657
0.928051,462
0.9328,57130,034
0.9441,67271,705
0.9662,500134,205
0.979134,215
0.98150,007284,221

Spread0.06Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.625757
0.61100157
0.60212368
0.5340408
0.4545453
0.4455508
0.3650558
0.3520578
0.25100678
0.244201,098
0.1671,105
0.158001,905

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
1walrusYes430.32
Bsau4Yes361.87
HaradwaithYes238.01
xtxpleasecallmeYes121.31
0xd0d9…30f2Yes87
xiaoaojiangYes55
0x774Cc57aC9c73d056939D94759F290FFd9Aa40F6-1751148649866Yes44.49
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes22
wozaitaibeiYes15
LavinceyYes10
hdjdjdjhshhYes10
yiuyooYes10
milibaoYes5
tryrktryYes5
PollyForgeYes5
BASSATS01Yes5
animal.beanYes5
86fghYes4.8
planktonXDYes2.27
K80PROYes2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:13:39BUYNo0.715$3.55
05:40:24BUYYes0.349999996529$10.05
05:40:22BUYYes0.3311$3.66
18:54:37BUYNo0.65310$201.50
16:33:03BUYYes0.425$2.18
03:20:03BUYYes0.4350$21.54
01:00:36BUYNo0.565$2.80
22:11:19BUYNo0.6140$24.40
19:57:12BUYYes0.476$2.87
19:56:55BUYNo0.595$2.95
19:56:55BUYNo0.5916$9.44
04:30:13BUYNo0.645$3.20
19:19:38BUYNo0.650$30.06
18:00:46BUYYes0.3916$6.24
14:18:13BUYNo0.6150$30.56
12:58:46SELLYes0.3731$11.29
11:29:32BUYNo0.6330$18.90
09:39:56BUYNo0.6350$31.56
02:32:14BUYNo0.6150$30.56
21:08:15SELLYes0.362$0.82
21:07:44BUYYes0.43999985922$1.00
21:02:27SELLYes0.3725$9.25
17:26:29BUYNo0.6350$31.56
14:03:30BUYNo0.6322$13.73
05:17:20BUYNo0.6449$31.36