PolyBot

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Will the median home value in NYC be less than $555,000 on September 30?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-11

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.006. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.001 to 0.006. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0116969
0.012129198
0.01950248
0.03050298
0.29811310
0.29910320
0.3005325
0.470125450
0.47118468
0.474100568
0.47710578
0.48015593

Spread0.009Mid0.006

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0028181
0.0011495

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9988181
0.9991495

Spread0.009Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9896969
0.988129198
0.98150248
0.97050298
0.70211310
0.70110320
0.7005325
0.530125450
0.52918468
0.526100568
0.52310578
0.52015593

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
InterestingUserYes731.77
LornaPredictsYes241.08
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes153.36
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
0xd0d9…30f2Yes130
0x11b2…6d33Yes100
TENETENETYes100
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724Yes77.77
AJSVYes71.19
hdjdjdjhshhYes70
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes69.09
molodoyyYes60
GingerMcKennaYes50.02
0x8221…22bcYes50
Hugin-og-MuninYes44
PPMTYes30
tradetosurvive1Yes24.34
a5533Yes23.29
coldhotYes21.13
0x9687…1b7cYes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:35:29BUYYes0.0107727540$0.43
13:01:27BUYYes0.005498085147$0.26
13:01:24BUYYes0.00120$0.02
13:01:23BUYYes0.0055$0.03
13:01:18BUYYes0.0015$0.01
13:02:50SELLYes0.00127$0.03
13:00:53SELLYes0.0012$0.00
13:00:48BUYNo0.99974$73.93
13:00:47BUYNo0.99910$9.99
13:00:45BUYNo0.99911$10.74
13:00:45BUYNo0.99960$59.94
13:00:45BUYNo0.99984$83.80
13:00:45BUYNo0.9992$2.05
13:00:45BUYNo0.9998$7.99
13:00:45BUYNo0.99985$84.92
04:46:54SELLYes0.0012$0.00
14:39:09SELLYes0.0020$0.00
14:34:57SELLYes0.0022$0.00
22:09:36SELLYes0.0015$0.00
13:07:21BUYNo0.9989$9.23
13:07:18BUYNo0.99840$39.92
13:07:18BUYNo0.99833$32.68
13:03:01BUYNo0.99818$18.35
13:03:00BUYNo0.99814$14.32
20:06:42BUYNo0.99794710$9.98