PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.048. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.048. Range 0.042 to 0.074. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0563333
0.0573366
0.0622086
0.069120206
0.093225431
0.099280711
0.1003311,042
0.101431,085
0.20791,093
0.208101,104
0.728501,154
0.738401,194

Spread0.016Mid0.048

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.040901901
0.03933934
0.03820954
0.03744998
0.0143201,318
0.011511,369
0.0102501,619
0.0081,6933,312
0.00373,318
0.0022103,528
0.0014,4357,963

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.960901901
0.96133934
0.96220954
0.96344998
0.9863201,318
0.989511,369
0.9902501,619
0.9921,6933,312
0.99773,318
0.9982103,528
0.9994,4357,963

Spread0.016Mid0.952

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9443333
0.9433366
0.9382086
0.931120206
0.907225431
0.901280711
0.9003311,042
0.899431,085
0.79391,093
0.792101,104
0.272501,154
0.262401,194

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OklmntraderYes330.67
Dr.PNLYes226.56
YeahsingularityyahYes217.93
Numitus1994Yes43
Mojito9Yes28.59
AJSVYes28.19
pootytherewardfarmerYes24
GuyFromTinderYes20
LornaPredictsYes20
ViscaElBarcaYes20
DjibootyNo868.33
OlcanNo50.52
kitty07No30
a5533No10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:35:37SELLNo0.94610$9.46
18:57:48SELLYes0.04520$0.90
06:10:45SELLNo0.9472$1.71
23:53:34BUYYes0.0917705734218$20.00
06:07:06SELLNo0.939419073822$20.49
06:04:57SELLNo0.9405928463152$142.79
18:10:33SELLYes0.03550$1.75
23:55:21SELLYes0.03620$0.72
18:29:51SELLYes0.03820$0.76
18:29:49BUYNo0.8973029983690$619.50
17:51:57SELLYes0.09100$9.00
15:10:00SELLNo0.9320$18.60
15:09:40SELLNo0.94380$75.44
10:49:52BUYNo0.9017840032302$272.17
06:28:03SELLYes0.127$0.90
06:27:58SELLYes0.1227$0.91
06:27:55SELLYes0.1227$0.91
06:27:48SELLYes0.12227$3.35
03:38:34SELLNo0.93836$33.30
21:36:07SELLNo0.9616$5.85
21:35:40SELLNo0.9616$5.85
20:11:37SELLYes0.0325$0.15
20:07:31SELLYes0.03119707634$1.07
19:59:07SELLNo0.7355$3.67
19:56:18SELLYes0.0422$0.86