PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.043. down 0.013 over the period, from 0.056. Range 0.032 to 0.056. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0534040
0.100331371
0.10143414
0.12270484
0.18770554
0.18810564
0.1899572
0.28270642
0.39260702
0.5904351,137
0.84061,143
0.89091,152

Spread0.021Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03288
0.0314856
0.00781137
0.00694231
0.00520251
0.004200451
0.00322473
0.002316789
0.0015,2005,989

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96888
0.9694856
0.99381137
0.99494231
0.99520251
0.996200451
0.99722473
0.998316789
0.9995,2005,989

Spread0.021Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9474040
0.900331371
0.89943414
0.87870484
0.81370554
0.81210564
0.8119572
0.71870642
0.60860702
0.4104351,137
0.16061,143
0.11091,152

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OklmntraderYes330.67
YeahsingularityyahYes217.93
Dr.PNLYes147.84
xtxpleasecallmeYes56.99
Numitus1994Yes43
Mojito9Yes28.59
LornaPredictsYes20
obliqYes3.21
makeit99No400
0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4C5-1771629524936No105.13
_test_i075_CAND_11b7No80
RawdyNo74.2
OlcanNo50.52
geylord20No31.68
kitty07No30
richarddNo13.29
random-random123No10.01
CryingSharkNo10
PPMTNo8
linghuchudongleNo8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:45:03SELLNo0.9358$7.48
12:23:07SELLNo0.9368$7.49
12:22:58SELLNo0.9348$7.47
10:10:24BUYYes0.06320$1.26
10:05:10BUYYes0.08423$1.95
10:05:10BUYYes0.0440$1.60
10:05:10BUYYes0.052999998123$1.23
22:50:56BUYNo0.94713$12.59
19:39:03SELLNo0.94513$11.97
19:37:50SELLNo0.9458$7.56
19:36:27SELLNo0.9458$7.56
19:36:17SELLNo0.94519$17.95
13:49:12BUYNo0.94713$12.00
00:34:45BUYNo0.94719$17.99
20:40:27BUYNo0.9478$7.58
20:36:08BUYNo0.9478$7.58
03:33:00SELLNo0.94120$18.82
23:35:00BUYNo0.9478$7.58
23:34:59BUYNo0.9478$7.58
21:35:54SELLNo0.9411$0.99
20:16:47BUYNo0.94711$9.99
19:44:38BUYNo0.94711$9.99
19:44:38BUYNo0.9478$7.58
03:56:18BUYNo0.9478$7.58
03:56:18BUYNo0.9478$7.58