CryingShark
0x0b4930cd7ff3fb3839956ae69dbefd989982e357
- Realised P&L
- $17.80
- Volume
- $929.48
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $30.93
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.933 | $12.95 | +$0.25 |
| US x China tariff agreement by October 31? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.890 | $9.35 | +$0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.065 | $3.68 | −$0.65 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.064 | $3.65 | −$0.30 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $1.30 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.91at 0.052Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$21.31at 0.156US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$10.01at 0.711LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
- +$9.89at 0.612LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
- +$6.74at 0.798LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:48 | US x China tariff agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $9.35 |
| 09-23 23:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-22 18:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.20 |
| 09-22 18:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $10.19 |
| 09-22 18:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.20 |
| 09-22 16:49 | LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3611677401 | $25.79 |
| 09-22 16:09 | LoL: Barça eSports vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.66 | $4.14 |
| 09-22 08:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $2.66 |
| 09-22 05:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.58 |
| 09-22 05:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.53 |
| 09-21 20:07 | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.916 | $5.31 |
| 09-21 19:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.40 |
| 09-21 16:17 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.72 |
| 09-21 13:13 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.24 |
| 09-21 11:37 | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.914 | $7.39 |