geylord20
0x5937098dd63928a53c0fa1432936cd7ec14211da
- Realised P&L
- $-674.91
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $137.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.21at 0.842Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$50.15at 0.390Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
- +$48.66at 0.853Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
- +$39.60at 0.560Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
- +$34.23at 0.580Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:35 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 22:10 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 20:11 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 20:09 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 20:08 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.150999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 18:12 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 16:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 15:52 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3839999803 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 09:36 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999007 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 20:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5979999294 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 18:48 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 18:21 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 18:20 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 10:48 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.619999933 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 10:47 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |