PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

geylord20

0x5937098dd63928a53c0fa1432936cd7ec14211da

Realised P&L
$-674.91
Volume
$14.7k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$137.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1510.709$23.48+$18.48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.1500.480$16.00+$11.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · No0.2300.730$15.87+$10.87
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6200.625$10.08+$0.08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7250.725$10.00+$0.00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6350.625$9.85−$0.15
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.6400.760$5.94+$0.94
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · No0.7500.890$5.93+$0.93
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.2600.290$5.58+$0.58
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4500.485$5.39+$0.39
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5980.628$5.25+$0.26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2900.293$5.06+$0.06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8000.805$5.03+$0.03
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.3100.305$4.92−$0.08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.595$4.80−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:35Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
09-30 22:10Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.649999974$5.00
09-30 20:11Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.229999994$5.00
09-30 20:09Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.149999997$5.00
09-30 20:08Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.150999999$5.00
09-30 18:12Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-30 16:08Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-30 15:52Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3839999803$5.00
09-30 09:36Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7299999007$5.00
09-29 20:49Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5979999294$5.00
09-29 18:48Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.64$5.00
09-29 18:21Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
09-29 18:20Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-29 10:48Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.619999933$5.00
09-29 10:472026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6199999628$5.00