0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4C5-1771629524936
0x3ad146a7dae2dbab2281c7e351bedce11748b4c5
- Realised P&L
- $-14.8k
- Volume
- $633.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,870
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,870
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.681Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.5kat 0.764US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$1.9kat 0.825Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$1.3kat 0.847Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$907.61at 0.926US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.77 | $5.16 |
| 09-19 16:33 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | SELL | 0.052 | $2.18 |
| 09-19 16:33 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | SELL | 0.0515713605 | $2.16 |
| 09-19 16:33 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | SELL | 0.0569137479 | $2.39 |
| 09-19 16:33 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | SELL | 0.0586402192 | $2.46 |
| 09-19 16:06 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m? | SELL | 0.939 | $65.29 |
| 09-19 16:05 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m? | SELL | 0.939 | $3.65 |
| 09-19 16:03 | Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 09-19 12:46 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $12.47 |
| 09-19 12:43 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.96 | $11.99 |
| 09-19 12:37 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.75 | $11.27 |
| 09-19 12:32 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.67 | $10.17 |
| 09-19 12:31 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.88 | $4.78 |
| 09-19 12:21 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.75 | $9.36 |
| 09-19 12:20 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.7 | $8.74 |