Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://agi.safe.ai/
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 108 | 108 |
| 0.14 | 61 | 169 |
| 0.15 | 21 | 190 |
| 0.20 | 48 | 238 |
| 0.54 | 105 | 343 |
| 0.55 | 18 | 361 |
| 0.57 | 16 | 377 |
| 0.58 | 40 | 417 |
| 0.59 | 435 | 852 |
| 0.84 | 6 | 858 |
| 0.89 | 9 | 867 |
| 0.92 | 7 | 874 |
Spread0.03Mid0.12
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.10 | 190 | 190 |
| 0.09 | 627 | 817 |
| 0.08 | 75 | 892 |
| 0.06 | 6 | 898 |
| 0.05 | 22 | 920 |
| 0.03 | 250 | 1,170 |
| 0.01 | 44 | 1,214 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.90 | 190 | 190 |
| 0.91 | 627 | 817 |
| 0.92 | 75 | 892 |
| 0.94 | 6 | 898 |
| 0.95 | 22 | 920 |
| 0.97 | 250 | 1,170 |
| 0.99 | 44 | 1,214 |
Spread0.03Mid0.89
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | 108 | 108 |
| 0.86 | 61 | 169 |
| 0.85 | 21 | 190 |
| 0.80 | 48 | 238 |
| 0.46 | 105 | 343 |
| 0.45 | 18 | 361 |
| 0.43 | 16 | 377 |
| 0.42 | 40 | 417 |
| 0.41 | 435 | 852 |
| 0.16 | 6 | 858 |
| 0.11 | 9 | 867 |
| 0.08 | 7 | 874 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 316.12 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 264.48 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 95.7 |
| holmman | Yes | 83.33 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 50 |
| omsode | Yes | 30.91 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21.1 |
| frontiertrade | Yes | 20 |
| winexecutescale | Yes | 12 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 7.01 |
| televisionloud | Yes | 5.9 |
| 0x11B53AF0db7d807e20c54420232099C11D608c02-1780728892156 | Yes | 2.64 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 2 |
| Olcan | No | 497.17 |
| dedidanc | No | 180 |
| cigarettes | No | 90.64 |
| il1 | No | 59 |
| richardd | No | 32.1 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | No | 27 |
| Haradwaith | No | 20.1 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:39:54 | SELL | No | 0.84 | 57 | $47.88 |
| 22:37:30 | BUY | No | 0.87 | 57 | $49.59 |
| 20:55:43 | BUY | Yes | 0.11 | 20 | $2.21 |
| 12:15:25 | BUY | Yes | 0.09 | 56 | $5.04 |
| 01:20:59 | BUY | Yes | 0.07 | 30 | $2.10 |
| 16:42:21 | BUY | No | 0.94 | 20 | $18.80 |
| 16:42:21 | BUY | No | 0.9048780488 | 41 | $37.10 |
| 06:22:20 | BUY | Yes | 0.08 | 80 | $6.43 |
| 17:30:06 | BUY | Yes | 0.0599999995 | 83 | $5.00 |
| 22:50:20 | BUY | Yes | 0.06 | 7 | $0.40 |
| 22:40:54 | SELL | Yes | 0.05 | 98 | $4.90 |
| 22:40:20 | SELL | Yes | 0.0841853998 | 432 | $36.33 |
| 22:40:20 | BUY | Yes | 0.06 | 28 | $1.69 |
| 22:40:20 | BUY | No | 0.9361724266 | 27 | $25.19 |
| 22:17:00 | SELL | Yes | 0.12 | 8 | $0.99 |
| 22:16:56 | SELL | Yes | 0.13 | 43 | $5.59 |
| 18:46:59 | SELL | No | 0.86 | 24 | $20.65 |
| 17:40:26 | BUY | Yes | 0.1166695249 | 432 | $50.34 |
| 22:50:14 | BUY | Yes | 0.12 | 43 | $5.16 |
| 01:07:38 | BUY | No | 0.9299998419 | 1 | $1.00 |
| 01:07:34 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 26 | $23.66 |
| 00:49:14 | SELL | Yes | 0.11 | 52 | $5.72 |
| 00:49:14 | BUY | No | 0.9 | 13 | $11.30 |
| 14:03:47 | SELL | Yes | 0.11 | 1 | $0.06 |
| 02:23:59 | BUY | No | 0.89 | 14 | $12.45 |