PolyBot

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Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-08
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.15. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.18. Range 0.15 to 0.28. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16190190
0.1769259
0.3930289
0.4844333
0.6420353
0.6726379
0.6845424
0.6925449
0.711,2501,699
0.74201,719
0.751,8633,581
0.792,1585,739

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.15221221
0.12180401
0.1021422
0.0132454

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.85221221
0.88180401
0.9021422
0.9932454

Spread0.01Mid0.84

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84190190
0.8369259
0.6130289
0.5244333
0.3620353
0.3326379
0.3245424
0.3125449
0.291,2501,699
0.26201,719
0.251,8633,581
0.212,1585,739

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
cosmicsteaksYes253.6
AJSVYes144.82
GuyFromTinderYes65
JohnP92Yes60.21
youtube-traderYes53.99
winexecutescaleYes25.64
HaradwaithYes25
makingpeanutsYes20
shiifooYes15
0xa5ef…2966No449.35
Isengard1No92.79
0xd054D2C6f00Dcd7E8aF07Aea456b560Da6339E28-1774091462070No65
etghzcerNo22.85
cigarettesNo18.37
0xB9faB18FCFCd9776A1759b40d628445d83A80b05-1770274651276No5.62
RespireNo5.33
FleursNo4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:46:02SELLYes0.156$0.84
21:02:30SELLYes0.1720$3.40
05:49:45BUYNo0.8515$12.53
05:44:36BUYNo0.855$4.25
01:37:14BUYNo0.820$16.00
00:03:02BUYNo0.823738407623$18.82
23:58:24BUYNo0.819999985$4.09
23:58:23BUYNo0.85$4.00
23:58:09BUYNo0.820$16.00
14:31:24BUYNo0.8117$13.93
00:36:14BUYNo0.8465$54.60
12:30:57SELLYes0.128$1.00
08:09:36BUYNo0.8820$17.60
08:09:36BUYNo0.8220$16.40
16:04:58BUYYes0.170069755960$10.24
12:21:09BUYNo0.910$9.00
11:27:29BUYNo0.88999998586$5.00
01:10:31SELLNo0.8520$17.00
23:07:59BUYYes0.13227847921$2.75
23:07:58BUYYes0.1245$5.40
23:07:52BUYYes0.113023254529$3.24
02:05:42SELLYes0.0820$1.60
02:04:16SELLYes0.120$2.00
02:04:07BUYNo0.940$36.00
01:10:46BUYNo0.99$8.10