PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd054D2C6f00Dcd7E8aF07Aea456b560Da6339E28-1774091462070

0xd054d2c6f00dcd7e8af07aea456b560da6339e28

Realised P&L
$-706.52
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$144.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.5400.978$41.55+$18.61
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · No0.7700.975$39.12+$8.21
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.3610.680$35.80+$16.80
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.665$12.03+$0.63
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3000.205$6.51−$3.02
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.1400.032$4.37−$14.74
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · No0.6400.390$2.59−$1.66
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · No0.3970.029$2.29−$28.52
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$20.04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.97
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 · No0.7230.000$0.00−$14.99
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$12.19
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.44
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$7.50
Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$9.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 00:12Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.999$18.08
09-29 14:41Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2140191388$1.79
09-28 02:39Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?BUY0.59$47.05
09-25 08:37Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?BUY0.26$10.02
09-24 16:36Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$4.25
09-24 00:36Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.84$54.60
09-22 10:42Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.4757671958$22.48
09-22 04:42Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.36$16.51
09-21 04:59Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?BUY0.63$11.40
09-21 02:59Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.14$19.11
09-19 22:39Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.77$30.91
09-19 14:28Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?BUY0.575$20.27
09-17 20:35Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1298303935$15.31
09-17 10:35Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.54$22.94
09-15 16:36Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?BUY0.42$8.67