0xd054D2C6f00Dcd7E8aF07Aea456b560Da6339E28-1774091462070
0xd054d2c6f00dcd7e8af07aea456b560da6339e28
- Realised P&L
- $-706.52
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $144.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.61at 0.442Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
- +$120.13at 0.073Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$78.09at 0.088Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$74.55at 0.580Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$59.75at 0.796Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 00:12 | Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.08 |
| 09-29 14:41 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2140191388 | $1.79 |
| 09-28 02:39 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $47.05 |
| 09-25 08:37 | Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 16:36 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.25 |
| 09-24 00:36 | Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.84 | $54.60 |
| 09-22 10:42 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.4757671958 | $22.48 |
| 09-22 04:42 | Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $16.51 |
| 09-21 04:59 | Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $11.40 |
| 09-21 02:59 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.14 | $19.11 |
| 09-19 22:39 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $30.91 |
| 09-19 14:28 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | BUY | 0.575 | $20.27 |
| 09-17 20:35 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1298303935 | $15.31 |
| 09-17 10:35 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.54 | $22.94 |
| 09-15 16:36 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.67 |