0xB9faB18FCFCd9776A1759b40d628445d83A80b05-1770274651276
0x70e4b8a069b56707708ab9c42b4201161fb99b0b
- Realised P&L
- $-193.51
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $79.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? · No | 0.870 | 0.880 | $30.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes | 0.202 | 0.345 | $17.12 | +$7.12 |
| Will the Green Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.265 | $13.88 | −$1.12 |
| Will the Green Party candidate win 25-30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.255 | $12.19 | −$2.81 |
| Will the Green Party candidate win 40% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.153 | $5.79 | +$3.79 |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 40,000-50,000? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$249.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.83at 0.608US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$8.95at 0.194Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?
- +$6.71at 0.788Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?
- +$-0.91at 0.757Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?
- +$-10.27at 0.480Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:34 | Will the Green Party candidate win 40% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.0529999987 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:34 | Will the Green Party candidate win 40% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.0529999987 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:32 | Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? | BUY | 0.8699999968 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 16:31 | Will the Green Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:30 | Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.211086633 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:29 | Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.1928060217 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:28 | Will the Green Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.3089504681 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:27 | Will the Green Party candidate win 25-30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.3138444639 | $15.00 |
| 08-05 10:16 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 40,000-50,000? | BUY | 0.0466047282 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 10:15 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? | BUY | 0.2415458937 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 10:13 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-03 20:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6079936149 | $23.00 |
| 08-03 20:16 | Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31? | SELL | 0.3424507846 | $24.01 |
| 08-03 15:42 | Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31? | BUY | 0.469999999 | $32.95 |
| 07-24 09:58 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July? | BUY | 0.7884231526 | $25.00 |