Isengard1
0x90323218cd86b964feb4ee2317422a2a5286b5c3
- Realised P&L
- $12.4k
- Volume
- $661.7k
- Markets traded
- 355
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded355
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.582US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.536Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$889.47at 0.303Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$880.65at 0.749Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$856.16at 0.285Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 17:31 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.48 |
| 09-25 16:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.53 | $159.00 |
| 09-25 10:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3806354545 | $837.40 |
| 09-24 22:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-24 19:22 | Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.01 |
| 09-24 19:22 | Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | SELL | 0.0241248418 | $22.87 |
| 09-24 18:04 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.53 | $32.86 |
| 09-24 16:23 | Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | SELL | 0.68 | $380.80 |
| 09-24 11:51 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $180.95 |
| 09-24 10:34 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.47 | $28.20 |
| 09-24 10:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 09-24 10:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $232.00 |
| 09-24 10:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $144.00 |
| 09-24 10:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-23 21:36 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $9.89 |